Expected Goals for Betting
This page brings you detailed and reliable Serie A xG data. xG (Expected Goals) is a powerful metric for realising the probability that a shot will end up in the back of the net. You can view the meaning of xG on OddAlerts Insights. Analysing this data across a fixture, or season, can give you a true indication of team performance.
For example, if a team has recorded xG of 7.19 across their opening 4 fixtures but has scored just 2 goals, then this tells us that they are underperforming and should have scored more. We base this on the hundreds of thousands of shots that have been analysed.
For an introduction into xG, I would personally recommend this book by James Tippett. It was sent to me by a fellow OddAlerts user and just a couple of weeks later, I understood how important xG can be and this very page was built. This is just the start for xG and OddAlerts. Stay tuned on Telegram or Twitter for updates.
What Serie A team has the best xG?
Inter is the best team for xG, with 85.83 and 2.26 per 90 minutes played this season. This means that they create good enough opportunities to be expected to score ~2.26 goals every game.
What Serie A team has the best xGA (Expected Goals Against)?
Juventus has the best xGA (0.84/90). This means they limit their opponents to chances that have a lower probability of scoring better than any other club. The total xGA for Juventus is 31.77
What Serie A team has the most xPTS (Expected Points)?
Inter is top of the table when it comes to xPTS, picking up 2.19 per 90 minutes played this season. Expected Points measures the number of points that Inter could have expected to take from a game given the scoring opportunities (xG) that they created and conceded.
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