The Africa Cup of Nations xG table for 2025/26 tracks expected goals data for all 24 teams. This includes xG (expected goals), xGA (expected goals against), xPTS (expected points), npxG (non-penalty xG), xGoT (expected goals on target), and the goals vs xG overperformance metric.
Who has the best attack?
Morocco top the xG charts with 17.44 expected goals from 6 games (2.91/90). With 8 goals scored, they are underperforming by 9.4.
Who has the best defence?
Angola have the tightest defence by xGA, conceding just 2.51 expected goals (0.84/90). Their actual goals conceded stands at 3.
Biggest overperformer
Egypt are the biggest overperformers in Africa Cup of Nations, scoring 9 goals from an xG of just 7.41 — a difference of +1.6. This could indicate clinical finishing or luck that may not be sustainable over the full season.
Biggest underperformer
Morocco are the most wasteful in front of goal, scoring 8 from an xG of 17.44 (diff: -9.4). Regression towards their xG would suggest improvement is likely.
Understanding the xG metrics
xG (Expected Goals): The total expected goals a team should have scored based on the quality of their chances.
xGA (Expected Goals Against): How many goals a team should have conceded — lower is better.
xPTS (Expected Points): How many league points a team deserves based on xG performance.
npxG (Non-Penalty xG): xG excluding penalties, giving a truer picture of open-play chance creation.
xGoT (xG on Target): Expected goals from shots that were on target only.
+/- (Overperformance): The difference between actual goals and xG. Positive = overperforming, negative = underperforming.
Data is updated daily, powered by advanced xG models covering 50+ competitions. Learn more about how xG works.
Data last updated: 2026-03-03 17:36:42
What Africa Cup of Nations team has the best xG?
Morocco leads for xG with 17.44 total (2.91/90) across 6 games. They have scored 8 goals, underperforming their xG by 9.4.
What Africa Cup of Nations team has the best xGA?
Angola has the best defence by xGA with just 2.51 expected goals against (0.84/90). They have conceded 3 goals in 3 games.
What Africa Cup of Nations team has the most xPTS?
Morocco tops xPTS with 13.97 (2.33/90). With 11 actual points, they are underperforming by 3 points.
Which Africa Cup of Nations team is overperforming their xG the most?
Egypt has scored 9 goals from an xG of 7.41, overperforming by +1.6 goals. This suggests they are finishing chances at an unsustainable rate, or have exceptional individual quality up front.
Which Africa Cup of Nations team is underperforming their xG the most?
Morocco has scored 8 goals from an xG of 17.44, underperforming by -9.4 goals. This indicates poor finishing or bad luck — regression towards their xG is likely.
What is xG in football?
xG (Expected Goals) measures the quality of chances created. Each shot is assigned a probability of being scored based on factors like distance, angle, body part, and assist type. A team's total xG reflects how many goals they should have scored based on their chances. Read more about xG.
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