Model probabilities for every upcoming match — 1X2, BTTS, Over 2.5 & correct score — refreshed daily
Over 2.5 goals 80.6%
Match result
Core markets
KPV Akatemia to win @ 3.00 model 39.4% vs 33.3% implied +6.1%
Home win offers +9.6% value edge
Our model rates KPV Akatemia’s chance to win at 39.44% while the market implies only 29.85%, giving a +9.59% value edge. KPV scores 2.63 goals per home game and every home match has gone over 2.5 goals this season. They have also won four of the last five head‑to‑head meetings, underscoring their home dominance.
Over 2.5 goals 82.1%
Match result
Core markets
Home win undervalued despite KR edge
Our model shows a -5.02% value edge against the current odds for a KR Reykjavík home win. KR have won 80% of their home games this season and every home match (100%) has gone over 2.5 goals. In the last five meetings KR have the edge with three home victories. The combination of strong home form and head‑to‑head superiority suggests the market is undervaluing the home win.
Under 2.5 goals 57.1%
Match result
Core markets
Home Win Value Edge +7.7%
The model assigns a +7.7% value edge to a home victory, with odds of 2.9 translating to an implied 34.5% chance, closely matching the model’s 34.6% rating. Atlético Grau has won 45% of its 11 home games this season and averages just over one goal per home match. In the last five home outings they collected eight points with two wins and two draws, showing resilience that backs the value suggestion.
Under 2.5 goals 57.3%
Match result
Core markets
BTTS Yes offers hidden value
Our model rates Both Teams to Score at roughly 50% while the market implies about 55.6%, giving a -5.33% value edge. Fortaleza scores in both teams in 69% of its home games and Once Caldas does so in 85% of its away matches. In the last five meetings, both sides scored in three games (60%). This combination suggests the odds are too short for BTTS Yes.
Under 2.5 goals 58.9%
Match result
Core markets
Guaraní to win @ 4.50 model 27.5% vs 22.2% implied +5.3%
Value Bet: Guaraní Away Win
Our model assigns a +5.28% edge to an away victory, indicating the odds are generous. In the recent five direct clashes Guaraní have won twice when playing away, and they are currently on a one‑match unbeaten run. These factors together make the away win a worthwhile consideration.
Coquimbo Unido to win 57%
Match result
Core markets
Under 2.5 goals @ 2.05 model 53.2% vs 48.8% implied +4.4%
Under 2.5 Goals looks promising
Our model shows a +2.08% value edge for Under 2.5 goals versus the current odds. Both sides have low over‑2.5 frequencies this season – the home side exceeds 2.5 goals in only 44% of home matches and the visitors in 60% of away games. The recent head‑to‑head record reinforces this, with an average of just 1.6 goals per meeting and only one over‑2.5 result in the last five encounters.
Flamengo to win 69.4%
Match result
Core markets
Under 2.5 goals @ 2.25 model 51.8% vs 44.4% implied +7.4%
Under 2.5 Goals offers +7% edge
Our model shows a +7.31% value edge for Under 2.5 goals. Flamengo’s matches go over 2.5 only 55% of the time at home, while Mirassol does so in just 45% of away games. Flamengo recorded four over‑2.5 games in its last five, but Mirassol managed only one. With the head‑to‑head meetings averaging 4.5 goals yet both recent fixtures hitting over 2.5, the low scoring option appears undervalued.
Under 2.5 goals 73.9%
Match result
Core markets
Midland to win @ 3.75 model 29% vs 26.7% implied +2.3%
Over 2.5 goals overvalued – odds too high
Our model shows a -6.10% value edge for Over 2.5 goals, meaning the offered odds (3.19) overprice this outcome. The home side exceeds 2.5 goals in only 30% of its home matches and the visitors in 33% of their away games. In the last five meetings each team has produced just two and one over‑2.5 results respectively, underscoring a low scoring trend.
Both teams to score 54.5%
Match result
Core markets
Ñublense to win @ 2.80 model 37.8% vs 35.7% implied +2.1%
Over 2.5 Goals likely despite modest odds edge
Our model puts the probability of a match with more than 2.5 goals at 49.2% while the market implies 54.0%, a -4.9% value gap. The home side sees over‑2.5 goals in 86% of its home fixtures, whereas the visitors manage it in only 14% of their away games. In the home team’s last five encounters, three matches produced over 2.5 goals, reinforcing the likelihood of a high‑scoring affair.
Under 2.5 goals 52.9%
Match result
Core markets
Panevėžys to win @ 3.90 model 29.1% vs 25.6% implied +3.5%
Home side holds strong edge despite odds
Our model shows a -16.15% value gap for a home win (model rating 42.67% vs implied 58.82%). Banga win 42% of their home games and average 1.58 points at home, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in the last five. Panevėžys win only 23% of away fixtures and score just 0.69 goals per away match. In the last five head‑to‑heads the home side has 2 victories, the away side only 1.
Under 2.5 goals 57.5%
Match result
Core markets
Under 2.5 goals @ 1.80 model 57.5% vs 55.6% implied +1.9%
Cerro Porteño primed for away victory
Our model flags a -6.90% value edge for the away win at odds of 1.8 (implied 55.6%). Cerro Porteño have won 38% of their 13 away games and average 1.31 points per away match. In the last five outings they are unbeaten with two wins and a draw, and they score 1.31 goals per away game while BTTS occurs in 54% of those fixtures – a solid platform for an upset.
Both teams to score 55%
Match result
Core markets
FC Cajamarca to win @ 3.00 model 39.9% vs 33.3% implied +6.6%
Cienciano undervalued on the road
Our model rates an away win at just 33.1% while the market implies 43.5%, creating a -10.38% value edge. Cienciano have only a 27% win rate in away games this season and have managed just one win, one draw and three defeats in their last five outings, though they sit on a two‑match unbeaten run. The odds of 2.30 therefore overprice the visitors, offering value on a Cienciano win.
Alianza Atlético to win 57.6%
Match result
Core markets
Undervalued No BTTS
Our model shows a -5.55% value edge for the ‘No Both Teams to Score’ market (model probability 50.01% vs implied 55.56%). Both sides have BTTS in over 60% of their matches this season (home 61%, away 63%), so the market is undervalued and could be a profitable lay.
Both teams to score 59%
Match result
Core markets
Västerås SK to win @ 4.10 model 28.3% vs 24.4% implied +3.9%
Sirius win offers strong value
Our model shows a -12.00% value edge for a Sirius away victory (model rating 46.82% vs implied 58.82%). Sirius have won 78% of their away games this season and average 2.67 goals per away match, indicating they are capable of securing points on the road despite a modest recent 1‑1‑3 run.
Under 2.5 goals 53.7%
Match result
Core markets
Under 2.5 Goals looks undervalued
Our model shows a -5.09% value edge for Under 2.5 goals (model rating 53.73% vs implied 58.82%). Both sides have modest over‑2.5 rates this season – Deportivo at 46% overall and Wanderers at 52% overall. In the last five matches each club produced only 1 and 3 over‑2.5 scorelines respectively, underscoring a low‑scoring trend that the market isn’t fully pricing in.
Atlético Ottawa to win 58.6%
Match result
Core markets
Under 2.5 goals @ 2.75 model 37.9% vs 36.4% implied +1.5%
Home Win Edge Despite Odds
Our model shows an -8.08% value edge for a home win, meaning the odds (1.5) overprice the result compared to our 58.59% win probability. Ottawa have won 70% of their home games, scoring an average of 2.10 goals at home, while Pacific have failed to win any away match and average just 1.13 goals on the road. The combination of Ottawa’s strong home record and Pacific’s poor away form reinforces the model’s view.
Both teams to score 52.4%
Match result
Core markets
Rhode Island to win @ 2.15 model 47.1% vs 46.5% implied +0.6%
Louisville City offers +10% value on away win
Our model rates an away win at just 25.6% while the market implies 35.7% (odds 2.8), creating a -10.1% value edge. Louisville City have won only 36% of their away games this season and have managed just one win in their last five, though they sit on a three‑match unbeaten run.
Both teams to score 54.9%
Match result
Core markets
Under 2.5 goals @ 2.38 model 48.9% vs 42% implied +6.9%
Under 2.5 Goals – +6.8% Value Edge
Our model shows a +6.84% value edge for an Under 2.5‑goals result. Toronto’s matches go over 2.5 goals in only 67% of home games, while Chicago’s away games exceed 2.5 goals in 73% of outings – both below the market’s implied 64.5% probability. The combination of modest over‑2.5 frequencies and the model’s positive value suggests betting the game to stay under the line.
Cincinnati to win 56.5%
Match result
Core markets
Under 2.5 goals @ 3.00 model 45.9% vs 33.3% implied +12.6%
Low Over‑2.5 Trend Boosts Under 2.5 Bet
Our model shows a +12.57% value edge for an Under 2.5‑goal result. DC United have exceeded 2.5 goals in only 36% of their away games this season, meaning 64% of their away matches stay under the line. Combined with Cincinnati’s average of 2.23 goals per game and a home concession rate of 1.91, the scoring environment points toward a sub‑2.5 outcome.
Universidad Chile to win 52.7%
Match result
Core markets
Universidad Chile to win @ 2.05 model 52.7% vs 48.8% implied +3.9%
Away win overvalued – -7.3% edge
Our model shows a -7.33% value edge for an away win (rating 22.08% vs implied 29.41% from odds of 3.4). Coquimbo Unido have won only 40% of their away games this season and have not won any of their last five away fixtures (0‑4‑1 record). They also concede 1.5 goals on average away and score just 1.4, making the market odds overly generous.
No matches for these filters.
Allsvenskan Argentina Liga Profesional Brazil Serie A Brazil Serie B Bundesliga Championship Chinese Super League EFL League One EFL League Two Eliteserien J1 League K League 1 La Liga Ligue 1 MLS Netherlands Eredivisie Premier League Saudi Pro League Serie A USL Championship
Every probability on this page is produced by our AI model. It combines team form, expected goals (xG), goal-timing data, head-to-head records and live bookmaker odds to price every outcome of every covered match.
For every fixture we publish the model's strongest call, win/draw/away probabilities, BTTS and Over 2.5 probabilities, the most likely scorelines, and a Value Edge where the model disagrees with the bookmaker's pricing.
Predictions refresh multiple times per day — when fixtures are first published, when odds move materially, and again in the hours before kick-off. The Last Updated stamp above always reflects the most recent refresh.
Each prediction is generated by combining team form, expected goals (xG), historical scoring trends, head-to-head data and current bookmaker odds across the leagues we cover. The model is re-run every few hours, so the predictions on this page always reflect the latest market and team data.
BTTS (Both Teams To Score) probability is the model's estimated chance that both sides will score at least one goal. A BTTS probability above 60% is treated as a strong signal; below 45% is weak. You can compare BTTS trends across leagues on our BTTS statistics page.
Value Edge is the gap between our AI's probability for an outcome and the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds. A positive Value Edge means the bookmaker is pricing the outcome lower than our model expects, which is what we flag as a value bet.
Our model is back-tested on tens of thousands of historical football matches and is regularly recalibrated. Accuracy varies by market — main result markets sit around industry benchmarks, while BTTS and Over 2.5 markets tend to score higher. No prediction is guaranteed; we recommend pairing them with our value bets and dropping odds tools before staking.
Predictions refresh multiple times per day — when fixtures are first published, when bookmaker odds move materially, and again in the hours before kick-off. The Last Updated timestamp at the top of the page reflects the most recent refresh.
Yes. The top insight for every fixture is free to view. OddAlerts Pro members also get access to additional insights per match, custom filters, and the full AI match report.
Betting Guides Value Bets Football Trends Corner Predictions Correct Score Form Guide xG Stats Custom Filters
OddAlerts is a football analytics platform providing AI-powered predictions since 2020. Our prediction model is developed by sports data scientists and continuously refined using machine learning techniques. We analyze over 100,000 matches annually across 2,500+ leagues to provide the most accurate and valuable insights. Discover trends, explore custom filters, or join thousands using our alert system.
