End-of-season home records need reading with a scalpel, not a highlighter. Třinec's 14-match sample gives their 100% return some genuine weight — that's not noise, that's a consistent home fortress through a long run of fixtures. Como W is the more actionable play today given the odds available, but 1.25 leaves you exposed to a single slip at the worst possible time of year, when sides with nothing left to play for routinely ship points they'd protect in October.
The reserve and youth entries — Vasco U20, Vélez Res. — look pristine on paper but those competitions have erratic scheduling and motivation swings that make six-match streaks almost meaningless. Chengdu at 1.54 is the number worth a second look: better value, a reasonable sample, and Chinese Super League home sides historically overperform late in their domestic calendar.