The names at the top of this table are doing a lot of heavy lifting given the calendar. Ittihad Tanger's 70% draw rate sounds compelling until you register it's built on seven matches — that's a confidence interval wide enough to drive a bus through. HLM's nine-game sample is the most credible basis here, and with best odds still sitting above 2.60, there's residual value if their tactical setup genuinely suppresses goals rather than just running hot.
The broader caution is structural: draw rates across pre-season football routinely inflate because rotations, fitness priorities, and low-stakes environments all pull scores toward level. That 41% page average is already elevated versus a typical mid-season baseline. Back draw-heavy sides with the larger samples; treat anything under eight games as noise you're paying market price to ignore.