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Betting on 1. Lyga

Profit Calculator — Pre-Match & In-Play with Alerts

Betting Profit: 1. Lyga

This page will show you how profitable betting on the 1. Lyga in Lithuania has been over the past 18 months. The page places £10 bets on every market using pre-match and peak in-play odds from Bet365 and shows you the long-term results and profitability — including what you could have won betting in-play at the best available odds.

All @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
253 games
Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £-563.1
103/253 won
40.71% £-721
42/181 won (23.2%)
Draw £-934
41/253 won
16.21% £-1155.3
20/215 won (9.3%)
Away Win £113.3
109/253 won
43.08% £-515.9
44/179 won (24.58%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

2024 @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
253 games
Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £-124.3
15/41 won
36.59% £-162.3
5/30 won (16.67%)
Draw £-135.5
7/41 won
17.07% £-200
3/34 won (8.82%)
Away Win £42.6
19/41 won
46.34% £-121.3
6/27 won (22.22%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

2025 @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
253 games
Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £-438.8
88/212 won
41.51% £-558.7
37/151 won (24.5%)
Draw £-798.5
34/212 won
16.04% £-955.3
17/181 won (9.39%)
Away Win £70.7
90/212 won
42.45% £-394.6
38/152 won (25%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

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How does "With Alerts" work?

During a match, odds drift as the game unfolds. If Man City are 1.40 pre-match and it's 0-0 at 60 minutes, the odds might drift to 2.00. With OddAlerts, you'd get a notification when the odds increase past your threshold.

The alert threshold determines how much the odds need to move before you bet:

  • +10% — 2.00 → triggers at 2.20. More bets, smaller edge.
  • +25% — 2.00 → triggers at 2.50. Good balance.
  • +50% — 2.00 → triggers at 3.00. Fewer bets, bigger odds.
  • +100% — 2.00 → triggers at 4.00. Only major drifts.

You only bet on games where the alert actually fires. Games where odds don't move enough are skipped entirely.

How is profit calculated?

Pre-Match: £10 bet on every game using closing Bet365 odds.

With Alerts: £10 bet only on games where in-play odds drifted past the threshold. You bet at the trigger price. Games that didn't trigger an alert are not counted.