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Super League Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Super League

Find value bets for Super League fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

Zürich vs Lausanne Sport

medium

Wed 4th, 19:30

FT Result

Home

3.25 Fair: 2.84 Betfair Exchange

+14.44%

Model: 35.2%

HT Result

Home

3.70 Fair: 3.31 1xBet

+11.78%

Model: 30.2%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.72 Fair: 1.68 Pinnacle

+2.38%

Model: 59.5%

BTTS

No

2.53 Fair: 2.48 Pinnacle

+2.02%

Model: 40.3%

medium

Wed 4th, 19:30

FT Result

Home

2.16 Fair: 2.06 Betfair Exchange

+4.85%

Model: 48.5%

HT Result

Home

2.75 Fair: 2.64 Bet365

+4.17%

Model: 37.9%

BTTS

No

2.14 Fair: 2.12 Betfair Exchange

+0.94%

Model: 47.1%

Luzern vs Young Boys

medium

Wed 4th, 19:30

BTTS

No

3.20 Fair: 2.50 Betfair Exchange

+28%

Model: 40%

FT Result

Home

2.32 Fair: 1.97 Betfair Exchange

+17.77%

Model: 50.9%

HT Result

Home

2.75 Fair: 2.49 Kambi Group

+10.44%

Model: 40.2%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.41 Fair: 1.36 Pinnacle

+3.68%

Model: 73.8%

Thun vs St. Gallen

medium

Thu 5th, 19:30

BTTS

No

2.63 Fair: 2.40 1xBet

+9.58%

Model: 41.7%

Basel vs Grasshopper

medium

Thu 5th, 19:30

BTTS

No

2.38 Fair: 2.09 Kambi Group

+13.88%

Model: 47.7%

FT Result

Away

5.00 Fair: 4.84 Bet365

+3.31%

Model: 20.7%

FT Result

Draw

4.31 Fair: 4.24 Pinnacle

+1.65%

Model: 23.6%

HT Result

Away

5.17 Fair: 5.13 Pinnacle

+0.78%

Model: 19.5%

Sion vs Winterthur

medium

Sat 7th, 17:00

HT Result

Away

8.00 Fair: 6.39 Bet365

+25.2%

Model: 15.7%

BTTS

No

2.28 Fair: 1.85 Kambi Group

+23.24%

Model: 53.9%

FT Result

Away

9.50 Fair: 7.95 Bet365

+19.5%

Model: 12.6%

Double Chance

Draw Away

3.50 Fair: 3.09 Bet365

+13.27%

Model: 32.4%

FT Result

Draw

5.30 Fair: 5.05 Kambi Group

+4.95%

Model: 19.8%

Servette vs Zürich

medium

Sat 7th, 17:00

FT Result

Away

5.25 Fair: 3.42 Bet365

+53.51%

Model: 29.2%

HT Result

Away

5.24 Fair: 3.89 1xBet

+34.7%

Model: 25.7%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.33 Fair: 1.83 1xBet

+27.32%

Model: 54.6%

FT Result

Draw

4.15 Fair: 3.95 1xBet

+5.06%

Model: 25.3%

HT Result

Draw

2.55 Fair: 2.54 Kambi Group

+0.39%

Model: 39.3%

Lugano vs Luzern

medium

Sat 7th, 19:30

FT Result

Away

3.80 Fair: 3.53 Kambi Group

+7.65%

Model: 28.3%

BTTS

No

2.50 Fair: 2.38 Bet365

+5.04%

Model: 42.1%

HT Result

Away

4.10 Fair: 3.97 Kambi Group

+3.27%

Model: 25.2%

St. Gallen vs Basel

medium

Sun 8th, 13:00

FT Result

Away

3.40 Fair: 3.17 Bet365

+7.26%

Model: 31.5%

Grasshopper vs Lausanne Sport

medium

Sun 8th, 15:30

BTTS

No

2.20 Fair: 2.14 Bet365

+2.8%

Model: 46.8%

Young Boys vs Thun

medium

Sun 8th, 15:30

FT Result

Home

2.45 Fair: 2.40 Kambi Group

+2.08%

Model: 41.8%

HT Result

Draw

2.60 Fair: 2.58 Kambi Group

+0.78%

Model: 38.8%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.