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Premier League Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Premier League

Find value bets for Premier League fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

Rostov vs Baltika Kaliningrad

high

Sat 7th, 13:30

FT Result

Home

2.82 Fair: 2.60 1xBet

+8.46%

Model: 38.4%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.45 Fair: 1.44 1xBet

+0.69%

Model: 69.5%

FK Nizjni Novgorod vs Sochi

high

Sat 7th, 16:00

FT Result

Away

3.20 Fair: 3.05 1xBet

+4.92%

Model: 32.8%

HT Result

Away

3.90 Fair: 3.85 Pinnacle

+1.3%

Model: 26%

Orenburg vs Zenit

high

Sun 8th, 09:00

FT Result

Home

6.98 Fair: 4.39 1xBet

+59%

Model: 22.8%

HT Result

Home

6.86 Fair: 4.46 Pinnacle

+53.81%

Model: 22.4%

Double Chance

Home Draw

2.72 Fair: 1.95 1xBet

+39.49%

Model: 51.3%

FT Result

Draw

4.68 Fair: 3.51 1xBet

+33.33%

Model: 28.5%

HT Result

Draw

2.45 Fair: 2.27 Pinnacle

+7.93%

Model: 44.1%

BTTS

No

1.80 Fair: 1.70 1xBet

+5.88%

Model: 58.9%

Krylya Sovetov vs Dynamo Makhachkala

high

Sun 8th, 11:30

HT Result

Away

3.66 Fair: 3.36 Pinnacle

+8.93%

Model: 29.8%

FT Result

Home

2.92 Fair: 2.77 1xBet

+5.42%

Model: 36.1%

FT Result

Away

2.86 Fair: 2.78 1xBet

+2.88%

Model: 36%

Double Chance

Home Away

1.42 Fair: 1.39 1xBet

+2.16%

Model: 72.1%

Rubin Kazan vs Krasnodar

high

Sun 8th, 14:00

FT Result

Home

4.38 Fair: 3.44 Pinnacle

+27.33%

Model: 29.1%

HT Result

Home

4.92 Fair: 4.07 Pinnacle

+20.88%

Model: 24.6%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.96 Fair: 1.75 1xBet

+12%

Model: 57.2%

FT Result

Draw

3.66 Fair: 3.56 1xBet

+2.81%

Model: 28.1%

CSKA Moskva vs Dinamo Moskva

high

Sun 8th, 16:30

FT Result

Home

2.37 Fair: 1.91 1xBet

+24.08%

Model: 52.3%

BTTS

No

2.24 Fair: 1.98 1xBet

+13.13%

Model: 50.4%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.41 Fair: 1.29 1xBet

+9.3%

Model: 77.3%

Double Chance

Home Away

1.34 Fair: 1.33 1xBet

+0.75%

Model: 75.1%

Lokomotiv Moskva vs Akhmat Grozny

high

Mon 9th, 13:30

FT Result

Home

1.88 Fair: 1.70 1xBet

+10.59%

Model: 58.7%

Spartak Moskva vs Akron

high

Mon 9th, 16:00

HT Result

Away

7.61 Fair: 6.54 Pinnacle

+16.36%

Model: 15.3%

BTTS

No

1.82 Fair: 1.79 1xBet

+1.68%

Model: 55.8%

Dynamo Makhachkala vs Orenburg

high

Fri 13th, 16:30

FT Result

Home

2.41 Fair: 2.10 1xBet

+14.76%

Model: 47.5%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.