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FNL Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for FNL

Find value bets for FNL fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

Chelyabinsk vs Spartak Kostroma

medium

Sat 7th, 11:00

FT Result

Away

2.99 Fair: 2.42 1xBet

+23.55%

Model: 41.3%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.55 Fair: 1.47 1xBet

+5.44%

Model: 68.1%

BTTS

Yes

2.01 Fair: 1.94 1xBet

+3.61%

Model: 51.6%

HT Result

Away

3.83 Fair: 3.82 Pinnacle

+0.26%

Model: 26.2%

Chernomorets vs SKA Khabarovsk

medium

Sat 7th, 12:00

FT Result

Home

2.71 Fair: 2.12 1xBet

+27.83%

Model: 47.1%

BTTS

Yes

2.16 Fair: 2.02 1xBet

+6.93%

Model: 49.5%

HT Result

Home

3.46 Fair: 3.25 1xBet

+6.46%

Model: 30.8%

Double Chance

Home Away

1.42 Fair: 1.37 1xBet

+3.65%

Model: 72.9%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.39 Fair: 1.35 1xBet

+2.96%

Model: 74.3%

Chayka vs Sokol Saratov

medium

Sat 7th, 12:00

FT Result

Away

2.90 Fair: 2.81 1xBet

+3.2%

Model: 35.6%

Yenisey vs KAMAZ

medium

Sun 8th, 08:00

FT Result

Away

3.24 Fair: 2.63 1xBet

+23.19%

Model: 38%

HT Result

Away

4.08 Fair: 3.60 Pinnacle

+13.33%

Model: 27.8%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.65 Fair: 1.52 1xBet

+8.55%

Model: 65.6%

BTTS

Yes

1.99 Fair: 1.96 1xBet

+1.53%

Model: 51.1%

Torpedo Moskva vs Rodina Moskva

medium

Sun 8th, 13:00

FT Result

Home

2.78 Fair: 2.41 1xBet

+15.35%

Model: 41.6%

HT Result

Home

3.46 Fair: 3.22 Pinnacle

+7.45%

Model: 31.1%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.47 Fair: 1.42 1xBet

+3.52%

Model: 70.5%

Neftekhimik vs Fakel

medium

Sun 8th, 14:30

HT Result

Home

4.33 Fair: 3.60 1xBet

+20.28%

Model: 27.8%

FT Result

Home

3.48 Fair: 3.27 1xBet

+6.42%

Model: 30.6%

Arsenal Tula vs Volga Ulyanovsk

medium

Mon 9th, 00:00

FT Result

Away

4.58 Fair: 3.41 1xBet

+34.31%

Model: 29.3%

HT Result

Away

5.15 Fair: 4.15 1xBet

+24.1%

Model: 24.1%

BTTS

Yes

1.99 Fair: 1.83 1xBet

+8.74%

Model: 54.6%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.92 Fair: 1.82 1xBet

+5.49%

Model: 54.9%

Rotor Volgograd vs Ural

medium

Mon 9th, 11:00

FT Result

Home

3.48 Fair: 2.70 Pinnacle

+28.89%

Model: 37.1%

HT Result

Home

4.54 Fair: 3.61 Pinnacle

+25.76%

Model: 27.7%

BTTS

Yes

2.46 Fair: 2.13 1xBet

+15.49%

Model: 46.9%

Double Chance

Home Away

1.44 Fair: 1.40 1xBet

+2.86%

Model: 71.3%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.53 Fair: 1.52 1xBet

+0.66%

Model: 65.8%

medium

Mon 9th, 12:00

FT Result

Home

2.12 Fair: 2.05 1xBet

+3.41%

Model: 48.8%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.