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League Two Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for League Two

Find value bets for League Two fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

Fleetwood Town vs Barnet

medium

Mon 6th, 15:00

BTTS

No

2.16 Fair: 1.94 Betfair Exchange

+11.34%

Model: 51.5%

FT Result

Away

2.48 Fair: 2.45 Betfair Exchange

+1.22%

Model: 40.9%

Tranmere Rovers vs Colchester United

medium

Mon 6th, 15:00

FT Result

Away

2.28 Fair: 2.08 Betfair Exchange

+9.62%

Model: 48%

BTTS

No

2.08 Fair: 2.00 Betfair Exchange

+4%

Model: 49.9%

HT Result

Home

4.09 Fair: 3.96 Pinnacle

+3.28%

Model: 25.3%

Swindon Town vs Walsall

medium

Mon 6th, 15:00

FT Result

Away

3.57 Fair: 3.20 Pinnacle

+11.56%

Model: 31.3%

BTTS

No

2.16 Fair: 2.04 Betfair Exchange

+5.88%

Model: 48.9%

HT Result

Away

4.21 Fair: 4.09 Pinnacle

+2.93%

Model: 24.5%

Oldham Athletic vs Milton Keynes Dons

medium

Mon 6th, 15:00

FT Result

Home

3.00 Fair: 2.75 Betfair Exchange

+9.09%

Model: 36.4%

BTTS

Yes

1.85 Fair: 1.83 Betfair Exchange

+1.09%

Model: 54.5%

Cheltenham Town vs Cambridge United

medium

Mon 6th, 15:00

FT Result

Home

6.80 Fair: 3.50 Betfair Exchange

+94.29%

Model: 28.5%

HT Result

Home

6.50 Fair: 4.51 Bet365

+44.12%

Model: 22.2%

Double Chance

Home Draw

2.25 Fair: 1.83 Bet365

+22.95%

Model: 54.8%

BTTS

Yes

2.20 Fair: 1.94 Betfair Exchange

+13.4%

Model: 51.5%

FT Result

Draw

3.88 Fair: 3.81 Pinnacle

+1.84%

Model: 26.3%

HT Result

Draw

2.23 Fair: 2.20 Pinnacle

+1.36%

Model: 45.4%

Gillingham vs Accrington Stanley

medium

Mon 6th, 15:00

FT Result

Away

3.80 Fair: 2.73 Betfair Exchange

+39.19%

Model: 36.7%

HT Result

Away

4.47 Fair: 3.52 Pinnacle

+26.99%

Model: 28.4%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.73 Fair: 1.58 Kambi Group

+9.49%

Model: 63.2%

Harrogate Town vs Bristol Rovers

medium

Mon 6th, 15:00

FT Result

Away

2.76 Fair: 2.21 Betfair Exchange

+24.89%

Model: 45.3%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.50 Fair: 1.43 Bet365

+4.9%

Model: 69.9%

BTTS

Yes

1.84 Fair: 1.79 Betfair Exchange

+2.79%

Model: 55.8%

Crawley Town vs Grimsby Town

medium

Mon 6th, 15:00

FT Result

Home

3.40 Fair: 3.09 Betfair Exchange

+10.03%

Model: 32.4%

BTTS

No

2.24 Fair: 2.06 Betfair Exchange

+8.74%

Model: 48.5%

Crewe Alexandra vs Salford City

medium

Mon 6th, 15:00

FT Result

Home

3.25 Fair: 2.45 Betfair Exchange

+32.65%

Model: 40.8%

HT Result

Home

3.82 Fair: 3.31 1xBet

+15.41%

Model: 30.2%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.62 Fair: 1.53 WilliamHill

+5.88%

Model: 65.4%

BTTS

Yes

1.73 Fair: 1.64 Betfair Exchange

+5.49%

Model: 60.9%

Barrow vs Chesterfield

medium

Mon 6th, 15:00

FT Result

Home

3.85 Fair: 3.73 Betfair Exchange

+3.22%

Model: 26.8%

HT Result

Home

4.35 Fair: 4.27 1xBet

+1.87%

Model: 23.4%

FT Result

Away

2.15 Fair: 2.12 Kambi Group

+1.42%

Model: 47.2%

Notts County vs Newport County

medium

Mon 6th, 15:00

BTTS

Yes

1.91 Fair: 1.80 Betfair Exchange

+6.11%

Model: 55.7%

FT Result

Home

1.57 Fair: 1.52 Betfair Exchange

+3.29%

Model: 65.8%

Double Chance

Home Away

1.25 Fair: 1.23 Bet365

+1.63%

Model: 81%

HT Result

Home

2.10 Fair: 2.07 Bet365

+1.45%

Model: 48.4%

FT Result

Away

6.60 Fair: 6.58 Betfair Exchange

+0.3%

Model: 15.2%

Bromley vs Shrewsbury Town

medium

Tue 7th, 20:00

FT Result

Home

1.72 Fair: 1.69 Betfair Exchange

+1.78%

Model: 59.2%

Colchester United vs Swindon Town

medium

Fri 10th, 19:45

FT Result

Away

3.05 Fair: 2.87 Kambi Group

+6.27%

Model: 34.8%

Cambridge United vs Notts County

medium

Sat 11th, 15:00

HT Result

Away

4.30 Fair: 4.25 1xBet

+1.18%

Model: 23.6%

Newport County vs Harrogate Town

medium

Sat 11th, 15:00

FT Result

Away

2.99 Fair: 2.57 1xBet

+16.34%

Model: 38.9%

Chesterfield vs Tranmere Rovers

medium

Sat 11th, 15:00

BTTS

No

2.15 Fair: 1.98 Kambi Group

+8.59%

Model: 50.4%

HT Result

Draw

2.55 Fair: 2.44 Kambi Group

+4.51%

Model: 41%

Grimsby Town vs Crewe Alexandra

medium

Sat 11th, 15:00

FT Result

Away

3.50 Fair: 3.36 Kambi Group

+4.17%

Model: 29.7%

HT Result

Away

3.85 Fair: 3.83 Kambi Group

+0.52%

Model: 26.1%

Cheltenham Town vs Gillingham

medium

Tue 14th, 19:45

FT Result

Home

3.65 Fair: 2.36 Pinnacle

+54.66%

Model: 42.3%

HT Result

Home

4.35 Fair: 3.64 Pinnacle

+19.51%

Model: 27.5%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.70 Fair: 1.44 Pinnacle

+18.06%

Model: 69.4%

BTTS

Yes

2.01 Fair: 1.97 Pinnacle

+2.03%

Model: 50.8%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.