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How to Use Dropping Odds to Read the Market Dropping Odds shows how football prices have moved from opening to now across eight bookmakers, so you can see where the market has shortened before you look at your own price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
In beta for Advanced members. A version for Pro is planned after the beta.
Default settings: Match odds + Asian handicap, 3%+ drops, up to 2 hours before kick-off, prices up to 3.0. 1 unit per alert at the "bet at" price.
Match odds and Asian handicaps in the market where the sharpest money in football sets the price, from up to 3 hours before kick-off.
When a price drops fast enough, you get a push alert with a "bet at" price: any bookmaker at or above it still has the edge the move implies.
Every alert is checked against the closing line and the result. Winners and losers stay in the record.
| Match | Selection | Bet at | Closed | vs close | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Basara Hyogo v Aries Toshima Japan - Regional League · Sat 14 Nov, 01:45 | Aries Toshima to win | 2.40 | 2.36 | +1.5% | Won +1.4u |
| Umecit v CD Plaza Amador Panama City Panama - Liga Panamena de Futbol, Apertura · Sat 14 Nov, 01:30 | CD Plaza Amador Panama City +0.25 | 1.90 | 1.77 | +7.4% | Won +0.9u |
| Lexington SC v Fort Lauderdale United FC USA - USL Super League, Women · Sat 14 Nov, 00:30 | Lexington SC to win | 1.62 | 1.57 | +3.1% | Won +0.6u |
| Bombarderos De Tecamac FC v CF Pachuca III Mexico - Liga TDP · Fri 13 Nov, 22:00 | CF Pachuca III to win | 1.53 | 1.48 | +3.6% | Won +0.5u |
| Inter Playa del Carmen II v Ejidatarios de Bonfil Mexico - Liga TDP · Fri 13 Nov, 22:00 | Inter Playa del Carmen II Draw No Bet | 2.10 | 2.37 | -11.3% | Lost -1.0u |
| Pen-y-Bont FC v Cardiff Draconians Wales - Welsh Cup · Fri 13 Nov, 19:45 | Pen-y-Bont FC -3.5 | 2.05 | 2.00 | +2.7% | Won +1.1u |
| Ballymena United v Linfield FC Northern Ireland - Premiership · Fri 13 Nov, 19:45 | Linfield FC to win | 1.48 | 1.50 | -1.2% | Won +0.5u |
| Slovenia v Switzerland International - UEFA Nations League, League C, Gr. 2 · Fri 13 Nov, 19:45 | Slovenia +0.75 | 1.88 | 1.84 | +2.2% | Won +0.9u |
| Denbigh Town v Gresford Athletic Wales - Cymru Championship, North · Fri 13 Nov, 19:30 | Denbigh Town -2 | 1.90 | 1.86 | +2.1% | Won +0.9u |
| Pen-y-Bont FC v Cardiff Draconians Wales - Welsh Cup · Fri 13 Nov, 19:45 | Pen-y-Bont FC -3.25 | 2.00 | 1.80 | +11.1% | Won +1.0u |
| England U21 v Portugal U21 International Youth - U21 Friendly Games · Fri 13 Nov, 19:30 | England U21 -0.75 | 2.02 | 2.03 | -0.3% | Lost -1.0u |
| Slovakia v Faroe Islands International - UEFA Nations League, League C, Gr. 2 · Fri 13 Nov, 19:45 | Faroe Islands +1.25 | 2.04 | 1.95 | +4.5% | Won +1.0u |
| Grenada v Saint Kitts and Nevis International - CONCACAF Nations League, League B, Group C · Fri 13 Nov, 19:00 | Saint Kitts and Nevis -1.75 | 1.95 | 1.65 | +18.1% | Lost -1.0u |
| Deportivo Lara v Zamora FC Barinas II Venezuela - Segunda Division, Playoffs · Fri 13 Nov, 19:00 | Zamora FC Barinas II +1.5 | 1.86 | 1.67 | +11.3% | Won +0.9u |
| Millwall U21 v Sheffield United U21 England Amateur - U21 Premier League Cup, Group F · Fri 13 Nov, 19:00 | Millwall U21 -1 | 1.88 | 1.85 | +1.9% | Lost -1.0u |
Choose how big a move has to be before you hear about it.
| Option | Alerts | Edge | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2%+ drops | 7,370 | +2.6% | +219.8u |
| 3%+ dropsDefault | 4,286 | +2.6% | +61.7u |
| 4%+ drops | 2,320 | +2.4% | +1.7u |
Choose how long before kick-off alerts can arrive.
| Option | Alerts | Edge | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Up to 1 hour before | 3,363 | +2.5% | +79.1u |
| Up to 2 hours beforeDefault | 4,286 | +2.6% | +61.7u |
| Up to 3 hours before | 4,768 | +2.3% | +38.5u |
Choose which prices you want alerts on.
| Option | Alerts | Edge | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Up to 3.0Default | 4,286 | +2.6% | +61.7u |
| Up to 2.0 | 3,529 | +2.2% | +8.5u |
| 2.0 to 3.0 | 1,936 | +3.2% | +74.0u |
Choose which markets you follow.
| Option | Alerts | Edge | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match odds + Asian handicapDefault | 4,286 | +2.6% | +61.7u |
| Match odds only | 1,768 | +2.5% | +42.3u |
| Asian handicap only | 4,001 | +2.6% | +57.1u |
VigShift is in beta for Advanced members, with the full football data API, unlimited OddAlerts AI and every other beta tool. A version for Pro is planned after the beta.
Already a member? VigShift lives in the Alerts tab of the app.
VigShift watches the sharpest football market for fast price drops on match odds and Asian handicaps. When a price drops far enough, it alerts you within a second with a minimum price to take, and grades every alert against the closing line once the match kicks off.
A dropping odds list shows every price that has moved, usually after the move is finished. VigShift only alerts on fast moves in the sharp market that history says keep going, tells you the price worth taking, and publishes how every alert did. Our live dropping odds scanner is still free if you want the full picture.
The closing line is the last price before kick-off, when the market knows the most. If you took a better price than the close, you beat it. Over many bets, beating the closing line is the most reliable sign of a long-term edge, far more than a short run of wins, which is why VigShift grades every alert against it.
Only if you get on before the move finishes. Once a price has dropped, most of the value has gone. VigShift is built around that: it alerts within a second, gives you a "bet at" price, and is tuned to moves that tend to keep shortening into kick-off. Bigger moves that tend to overshoot and reverse are left out.
Markets (match odds, Asian handicap or both), the minimum drop (2%, 3% or 4%), how long before kick-off alerts can arrive (up to 1, 2 or 3 hours) and the price range (up to 2.0, 2.0 to 3.0, or everything up to 3.0). You can also cap alerts per day and mute them overnight. This page shows what each option delivered.
VigShift is in beta for Advanced members (£69.99 a month), alongside the full football data API, unlimited OddAlerts AI and every other beta tool. Existing Season Ticket holders have it too. A version for Pro is planned once the beta ends.