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Major League Soccer Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Major League Soccer

Find value bets for Major League Soccer fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

New York City vs Orlando City

good

Sat 7th, 19:30

FT Result

Away

4.35 Fair: 3.20 Kambi Group

+35.94%

Model: 31.2%

HT Result

Away

4.43 Fair: 3.86 Pinnacle

+14.77%

Model: 25.9%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.04 Fair: 1.81 Kambi Group

+12.71%

Model: 55.3%

DC United vs Inter Miami

good

Sat 7th, 21:30

BTTS

No

2.50 Fair: 2.16 WilliamHill

+15.74%

Model: 46.4%

HT Result

Home

4.41 Fair: 4.30 Pinnacle

+2.56%

Model: 23.2%

FT Result

Home

4.50 Fair: 4.46 Kambi Group

+0.9%

Model: 22.4%

Columbus Crew vs Chicago Fire

good

Sun 8th, 00:30

BTTS

No

2.90 Fair: 2.35 Pinnacle

+23.4%

Model: 42.6%

FT Result

Home

2.11 Fair: 1.93 1xBet

+9.33%

Model: 51.9%

Double Chance

Home Away

1.36 Fair: 1.30 Pinnacle

+4.62%

Model: 76.8%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.35 Fair: 1.33 WilliamHill

+1.5%

Model: 75.1%

HT Result

Home

2.50 Fair: 2.47 Bet365

+1.21%

Model: 40.5%

Philadelphia Union vs SJ Earthquakes

good

Sun 8th, 00:30

FT Result

Away

5.10 Fair: 4.63 Kambi Group

+10.15%

Model: 21.6%

BTTS

No

2.29 Fair: 2.27 Pinnacle

+0.88%

Model: 44.1%

Atlanta United vs Real Salt Lake

good

Sun 8th, 00:30

BTTS

No

2.48 Fair: 2.09 Kambi Group

+18.66%

Model: 47.9%

FT Result

Home

2.19 Fair: 2.01 1xBet

+8.96%

Model: 49.8%

HT Result

Home

2.67 Fair: 2.63 Pinnacle

+1.52%

Model: 38%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.35 Fair: 1.33 Pinnacle

+1.5%

Model: 75.1%

Charlotte vs Austin

good

Sun 8th, 00:30

FT Result

Home

2.07 Fair: 2.01 1xBet

+2.99%

Model: 49.8%

St. Louis City vs Seattle Sounders

good

Sun 8th, 01:30

FT Result

Home

3.25 Fair: 2.75 Kambi Group

+18.18%

Model: 36.3%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.72 Fair: 1.60 Kambi Group

+7.5%

Model: 62.4%

HT Result

Home

3.65 Fair: 3.51 Pinnacle

+3.99%

Model: 28.5%

BTTS

No

2.30 Fair: 2.24 WilliamHill

+2.68%

Model: 44.6%

Nashville SC vs Minnesota United

good

Sun 8th, 01:30

FT Result

Away

4.60 Fair: 4.25 Betfair Exchange

+8.24%

Model: 23.5%

BTTS

No

2.16 Fair: 2.12 Kambi Group

+1.89%

Model: 47.2%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.11 Fair: 2.09 Pinnacle

+0.96%

Model: 47.8%

Sporting KC vs San Diego

good

Sun 8th, 01:30

FT Result

Home

4.10 Fair: 3.30 Betfair Exchange

+24.24%

Model: 30.3%

BTTS

No

2.55 Fair: 2.22 Kambi Group

+14.86%

Model: 45.1%

HT Result

Home

4.31 Fair: 3.81 Pinnacle

+13.12%

Model: 26.2%

Double Chance

Home Draw

2.03 Fair: 1.84 Pinnacle

+10.33%

Model: 54.2%

FT Result

Draw

4.20 Fair: 4.18 Betfair Exchange

+0.48%

Model: 23.9%

Colorado Rapids vs LA Galaxy

good

Sun 8th, 02:30

BTTS

No

2.80 Fair: 2.36 Kambi Group

+18.64%

Model: 42.3%

FT Result

Home

2.30 Fair: 2.10 1xBet

+9.52%

Model: 47.5%

HT Result

Home

2.79 Fair: 2.67 Pinnacle

+4.49%

Model: 37.5%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.45 Fair: 1.40 Pinnacle

+3.57%

Model: 71.6%

Los Angeles FC vs Dallas

good

Sun 8th, 03:30

FT Result

Away

9.40 Fair: 6.39 Betfair Exchange

+47.1%

Model: 15.7%

HT Result

Away

7.03 Fair: 5.54 Pinnacle

+26.9%

Model: 18.1%

BTTS

No

2.25 Fair: 1.79 WilliamHill

+25.7%

Model: 55.9%

Double Chance

Draw Away

3.20 Fair: 2.57 Kambi Group

+24.51%

Model: 38.9%

FT Result

Draw

5.30 Fair: 4.31 Kambi Group

+22.97%

Model: 23.2%

HT Result

Draw

2.88 Fair: 2.58 Pinnacle

+11.63%

Model: 38.8%

Portland Timbers vs Vancouver Whitecaps

good

Sun 8th, 03:30

FT Result

Home

3.60 Fair: 2.28 Bet365

+57.89%

Model: 43.9%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.83 Fair: 1.42 Bet365

+28.87%

Model: 70.4%

HT Result

Home

4.00 Fair: 3.17 Bet365

+26.18%

Model: 31.5%

BTTS

No

2.40 Fair: 2.06 Betfair Exchange

+16.5%

Model: 48.6%

FT Result

Draw

4.00 Fair: 3.78 Pinnacle

+5.82%

Model: 26.5%

New York RB vs CF Montréal

good

Sun 8th, 20:30

FT Result

Away

5.60 Fair: 5.00 Betfair Exchange

+12%

Model: 20%

HT Result

Away

5.51 Fair: 5.22 Pinnacle

+5.56%

Model: 19.1%

FT Result

Draw

4.36 Fair: 4.35 1xBet

+0.23%

Model: 23%

Cincinnati vs Toronto

good

Sun 8th, 23:00

FT Result

Home

1.87 Fair: 1.60 1xBet

+16.88%

Model: 62.6%

BTTS

No

2.10 Fair: 1.83 Bet365

+14.75%

Model: 54.5%

HT Result

Home

2.37 Fair: 2.16 Bet365

+9.72%

Model: 46.3%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.22 Fair: 1.18 Bet365

+3.39%

Model: 85.1%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.