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Eerste Divisie Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Eerste Divisie

Find value bets for Eerste Divisie fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

FC Dordrecht vs MVV Maastricht

medium

Fri 6th, 19:00

HT Result

Away

6.14 Fair: 5.78 Pinnacle

+6.23%

Model: 17.3%

BTTS

No

2.30 Fair: 2.18 Kambi Group

+5.5%

Model: 45.9%

FT Result

Home

1.46 Fair: 1.45 Kambi Group

+0.69%

Model: 69.1%

FC Eindhoven vs Jong Ajax

medium

Fri 6th, 19:00

FT Result

Away

4.21 Fair: 3.68 Pinnacle

+14.4%

Model: 27.2%

HT Result

Away

4.52 Fair: 4.15 Pinnacle

+8.92%

Model: 24.1%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.10 Fair: 1.98 Bet365

+6.06%

Model: 50.4%

VVV-Venlo vs RKC Waalwijk

medium

Fri 6th, 19:00

FT Result

Home

2.55 Fair: 2.41 Kambi Group

+5.81%

Model: 41.5%

BTTS

No

2.75 Fair: 2.60 Kambi Group

+5.77%

Model: 38.5%

HT Result

Away

3.18 Fair: 3.11 Pinnacle

+2.25%

Model: 32.2%

Roda JC Kerkrade vs Jong PSV

medium

Fri 6th, 19:00

HT Result

Away

5.14 Fair: 4.12 Pinnacle

+24.76%

Model: 24.3%

FT Result

Away

5.20 Fair: 4.45 Kambi Group

+16.85%

Model: 22.5%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.50 Fair: 2.35 Bet365

+6.38%

Model: 42.6%

HT Result

Draw

2.88 Fair: 2.79 Pinnacle

+3.23%

Model: 35.8%

BTTS

No

2.80 Fair: 2.74 Kambi Group

+2.19%

Model: 36.6%

Almere City vs ADO Den Haag

medium

Sat 7th, 15:30

FT Result

Away

2.05 Fair: 1.82 Pinnacle

+12.64%

Model: 55%

BTTS

No

2.88 Fair: 2.61 Kambi Group

+10.34%

Model: 38.3%

De Graafschap vs Vitesse

medium

Sun 8th, 11:15

BTTS

No

3.10 Fair: 2.73 Kambi Group

+13.55%

Model: 36.7%

FT Result

Home

1.85 Fair: 1.64 WilliamHill

+12.8%

Model: 60.8%

HT Result

Home

2.30 Fair: 2.11 Bet365

+9%

Model: 47.3%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.28 Fair: 1.25 Bet365

+2.4%

Model: 80.1%

Double Chance

Home Away

1.25 Fair: 1.24 Bet365

+0.81%

Model: 80.7%

Willem II vs FC Den Bosch

medium

Sun 8th, 13:30

FT Result

Away

4.13 Fair: 3.65 Pinnacle

+13.15%

Model: 27.4%

BTTS

No

2.85 Fair: 2.53 Kambi Group

+12.65%

Model: 39.5%

HT Result

Away

4.38 Fair: 3.98 1xBet

+10.05%

Model: 25.2%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.10 Fair: 1.98 Bet365

+6.06%

Model: 50.6%

SC Cambuur vs Jong FC Utrecht

medium

Sun 8th, 15:45

BTTS

No

2.50 Fair: 2.30 Kambi Group

+8.7%

Model: 43.5%

FT Result

Home

1.46 Fair: 1.41 Kambi Group

+3.55%

Model: 70.9%

Jong AZ vs FC Emmen

medium

Mon 9th, 19:00

BTTS

No

2.81 Fair: 2.57 1xBet

+9.34%

Model: 38.8%

HT Result

Away

3.41 Fair: 3.29 1xBet

+3.65%

Model: 30.4%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.