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  1. Football Leagues
  2. Myanmar
  3. National League

National League Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for National League

Find value bets for National League fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

Thitsar Arman vs I.S.P.E
high
Wed 4th, 09:00
FT Result
Away
3.03 Fair: 2.71 Pinnacle
+11.81%
Model: 36.9%
Hantharwady United vs Yangon United
high
Wed 4th, 09:30
FT Result
Home
23.00 Fair: 8.44 Betfair Exchange
+172.51%
Model: 11.9%
HT Result
Home
12.00 Fair: 4.84 Bet365
+147.93%
Model: 20.6%
Double Chance
Home Draw
5.50 Fair: 3.71 Bet365
+48.25%
Model: 27%
FT Result
Draw
8.40 Fair: 6.61 Betfair Exchange
+27.08%
Model: 15.1%
BTTS
Yes
2.34 Fair: 1.90 Betfair Exchange
+23.16%
Model: 52.6%
HT Result
Draw
3.25 Fair: 2.79 Kambi Group
+16.49%
Model: 35.9%
Yadanarbon vs Ayeyawady United
high
Thu 5th, 09:00
FT Result
Away
4.09 Fair: 2.50 1xBet
+63.6%
Model: 40%
HT Result
Away
3.75 Fair: 3.11 Bet365
+20.58%
Model: 32.2%
Dagon Port vs Rakhine United
high
Fri 6th, 09:30
FT Result
Away
3.43 Fair: 2.96 1xBet
+15.88%
Model: 33.7%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

  • 0-5% - Small value edge
  • 5-10% - Good value
  • 10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.