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Liga 1 Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Liga 1

Find value bets for Liga 1 fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

FT Result
Away
2.76 Fair: 2.03 Betfair Exchange
+35.96%
Model: 49.3%
HT Result
Away
3.37 Fair: 2.85 Pinnacle
+18.25%
Model: 35.1%
Double Chance
Draw Away
1.54 Fair: 1.34 Pinnacle
+14.93%
Model: 74.8%
BTTS
No
2.16 Fair: 2.08 Betfair Exchange
+3.85%
Model: 48%
Thu 5th, 13:30
FT Result
Away
4.36 Fair: 3.83 Pinnacle
+13.84%
Model: 26.1%
FT Result
Draw
4.00 Fair: 3.53 Bet365
+13.31%
Model: 28.3%
HT Result
Away
5.04 Fair: 4.65 1xBet
+8.39%
Model: 21.5%
Double Chance
Draw Away
1.91 Fair: 1.84 WilliamHill
+3.8%
Model: 54.4%
BTTS
Yes
2.10 Fair: 2.07 Bet365
+1.45%
Model: 48.3%
HT Result
Draw
2.20 Fair: 2.17 Pinnacle
+1.38%
Model: 46.1%
FT Result
Away
5.70 Fair: 4.82 Pinnacle
+18.26%
Model: 20.7%
HT Result
Away
5.70 Fair: 4.94 Pinnacle
+15.38%
Model: 20.3%
Double Chance
Draw Away
2.38 Fair: 2.26 WilliamHill
+5.31%
Model: 44.2%
Fri 6th, 13:30
HT Result
Away
4.38 Fair: 3.67 1xBet
+19.35%
Model: 27.2%
FT Result
Away
3.74 Fair: 3.31 Pinnacle
+12.99%
Model: 30.2%
BTTS
Yes
1.80 Fair: 1.72 Bet365
+4.65%
Model: 58.3%
Double Chance
Draw Away
1.83 Fair: 1.79 WilliamHill
+2.23%
Model: 55.9%
Sat 7th, 12:00
HT Result
Away
5.58 Fair: 5.35 1xBet
+4.3%
Model: 18.7%
FT Result
Away
5.04 Fair: 4.96 Pinnacle
+1.61%
Model: 20.2%
BTTS
Yes
1.84 Fair: 1.83 1xBet
+0.55%
Model: 54.7%
Sat 7th, 13:30
FT Result
Home
1.89 Fair: 1.81 Kambi Group
+4.42%
Model: 55.4%
HT Result
Away
5.13 Fair: 5.06 Pinnacle
+1.38%
Model: 19.8%
BTTS
No
2.00 Fair: 1.98 Kambi Group
+1.01%
Model: 50.4%
Sat 7th, 13:30
BTTS
No
2.05 Fair: 1.92 Kambi Group
+6.77%
Model: 52%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

  • 0-5% - Small value edge
  • 5-10% - Good value
  • 10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.