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Super League Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Super League

Find value bets for Super League fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

Panathinaikos vs OFI

high

Wed 4th, 16:00

FT Result

Away

9.80 Fair: 5.85 Betfair Exchange

+67.52%

Model: 17.1%

HT Result

Away

8.38 Fair: 6.49 Pinnacle

+29.12%

Model: 15.4%

Double Chance

Draw Away

3.10 Fair: 2.54 Pinnacle

+22.05%

Model: 39.4%

FT Result

Draw

4.80 Fair: 4.48 Betfair Exchange

+7.14%

Model: 22.3%

BTTS

Yes

2.22 Fair: 2.14 Pinnacle

+3.74%

Model: 46.8%

Kifisia vs PAOK

high

Wed 4th, 18:00

FT Result

Home

8.00 Fair: 3.19 Betfair Exchange

+150.78%

Model: 31.3%

HT Result

Home

7.38 Fair: 3.64 Pinnacle

+102.75%

Model: 27.5%

Double Chance

Home Draw

2.93 Fair: 1.68 Pinnacle

+74.4%

Model: 59.4%

FT Result

Draw

4.75 Fair: 3.56 Bet365

+33.43%

Model: 28.1%

HT Result

Draw

2.45 Fair: 2.30 Pinnacle

+6.52%

Model: 43.4%

BTTS

Yes

2.10 Fair: 2.05 Betfair Exchange

+2.44%

Model: 48.8%

Aris vs Atromitos

high

Sat 7th, 15:00

FT Result

Away

4.25 Fair: 3.61 Kambi Group

+17.73%

Model: 27.7%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.82 Fair: 1.74 Kambi Group

+4.6%

Model: 57.3%

HT Result

Away

4.81 Fair: 4.77 1xBet

+0.84%

Model: 21%

AEK Athens vs Larissa

high

Sat 7th, 16:00

HT Result

Away

11.00 Fair: 6.23 Bet365

+76.57%

Model: 16%

FT Result

Away

13.30 Fair: 9.87 Pinnacle

+34.75%

Model: 10.1%

FT Result

Draw

6.37 Fair: 5.04 Pinnacle

+26.39%

Model: 19.9%

Double Chance

Draw Away

4.00 Fair: 3.34 Bet365

+19.76%

Model: 30%

HT Result

Draw

2.80 Fair: 2.73 Kambi Group

+2.56%

Model: 36.6%

Asteras Tripolis vs Panserraikos

high

Sun 8th, 14:00

HT Result

Away

7.46 Fair: 5.58 Pinnacle

+33.69%

Model: 17.9%

FT Result

Away

7.18 Fair: 6.22 Pinnacle

+15.43%

Model: 16.1%

Volos NFC vs OFI

high

Sun 8th, 15:00

FT Result

Home

2.44 Fair: 2.24 1xBet

+8.93%

Model: 44.7%

HT Result

Home

3.06 Fair: 2.97 1xBet

+3.03%

Model: 33.6%

Levadiakos vs Panathinaikos

high

Sun 8th, 17:00

HT Result

Home

4.04 Fair: 2.99 1xBet

+35.12%

Model: 33.4%

FT Result

Home

3.24 Fair: 2.54 1xBet

+27.56%

Model: 39.4%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.63 Fair: 1.50 1xBet

+8.67%

Model: 66.6%

Olympiacos F.C. vs PAOK

high

Sun 8th, 19:00

FT Result

Home

2.12 Fair: 1.74 1xBet

+21.84%

Model: 57.3%

HT Result

Home

2.75 Fair: 2.60 1xBet

+5.77%

Model: 38.4%

Double Chance

Home Away

1.35 Fair: 1.29 WilliamHill

+4.65%

Model: 77.3%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.29 Fair: 1.25 WilliamHill

+3.2%

Model: 80%

Panaitolikos vs Kifisia

high

Mon 9th, 16:00

FT Result

Away

4.00 Fair: 2.55 Bet365

+56.86%

Model: 39.3%

HT Result

Away

4.60 Fair: 3.01 1xBet

+52.82%

Model: 33.3%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.80 Fair: 1.53 Bet365

+17.65%

Model: 65.4%

BTTS

Yes

1.95 Fair: 1.83 Bet365

+6.56%

Model: 54.5%

Double Chance

Home Away

1.36 Fair: 1.35 WilliamHill

+0.74%

Model: 73.9%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.