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Regionalliga: Nordost Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Regionalliga: Nordost

Find value bets for Regionalliga: Nordost fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

ZFC Meuselwitz vs Lokomotive Leipzig

medium

Wed 4th, 18:00

FT Result

Home

5.75 Fair: 3.74 Pinnacle

+53.74%

Model: 26.8%

HT Result

Home

5.50 Fair: 4.23 Bet365

+30.02%

Model: 23.7%

Double Chance

Home Draw

2.25 Fair: 1.93 Bet365

+16.58%

Model: 51.8%

BTTS

Yes

1.83 Fair: 1.81 Bet365

+1.1%

Model: 55.3%

Hertha Zehlendorf vs Hallescher FC

medium

Wed 4th, 18:00

FT Result

Home

7.00 Fair: 5.21 Bet365

+34.36%

Model: 19.2%

HT Result

Home

5.50 Fair: 4.99 Bet365

+10.22%

Model: 20%

HT Result

Draw

2.37 Fair: 2.31 Bet365

+2.6%

Model: 43.3%

Luckenwalde vs Magdeburg II

medium

Wed 4th, 18:00

FT Result

Away

2.27 Fair: 1.71 1xBet

+32.75%

Model: 58.6%

HT Result

Away

2.87 Fair: 2.42 Bet365

+18.6%

Model: 41.3%

BTTS

No

2.25 Fair: 2.00 Bet365

+12.5%

Model: 50%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.40 Fair: 1.25 Bet365

+12%

Model: 80.3%

Greifswalder FC vs Rot-Weiß Erfurt

medium

Wed 4th, 18:00

FT Result

Home

3.00 Fair: 2.15 Bet365

+39.53%

Model: 46.6%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.61 Fair: 1.36 Bet365

+18.38%

Model: 73.5%

BTTS

No

2.25 Fair: 1.98 Bet365

+13.64%

Model: 50.5%

HT Result

Home

3.20 Fair: 3.14 Bet365

+1.91%

Model: 31.9%

Hertha BSC II vs BFC Preussen

medium

Fri 6th, 18:00

FT Result

Home

2.77 Fair: 2.09 1xBet

+32.54%

Model: 47.9%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.53 Fair: 1.40 Bet365

+9.29%

Model: 71.7%

Hallescher FC vs Chemnitzer FC

medium

Sat 7th, 13:00

HT Result

Draw

2.30 Fair: 2.21 Bet365

+4.07%

Model: 45.3%

BTTS

No

2.10 Fair: 2.02 Bet365

+3.96%

Model: 49.6%

FT Result

Home

1.83 Fair: 1.82 Bet365

+0.55%

Model: 55%

Greifswalder FC vs BFC Dynamo

medium

Sat 7th, 13:00

FT Result

Home

2.25 Fair: 1.91 Bet365

+17.8%

Model: 52.4%

HT Result

Home

3.20 Fair: 2.81 Bet365

+13.88%

Model: 35.6%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.44 Fair: 1.28 Bet365

+12.5%

Model: 78%

BTTS

No

2.25 Fair: 2.06 Bet365

+9.22%

Model: 48.6%

Magdeburg II vs Zwickau

medium

Sat 7th, 13:00

FT Result

Away

2.78 Fair: 2.75 1xBet

+1.09%

Model: 36.3%

Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs Chemie Leipzig

medium

Sun 8th, 13:00

FT Result

Away

3.77 Fair: 2.75 1xBet

+37.09%

Model: 36.4%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.83 Fair: 1.62 Bet365

+12.96%

Model: 61.8%

HT Result

Away

4.00 Fair: 3.95 Bet365

+1.27%

Model: 25.3%

Hertha Zehlendorf vs Luckenwalde

medium

Sun 8th, 13:00

HT Result

Draw

2.20 Fair: 2.13 Bet365

+3.29%

Model: 46.9%

BTTS

No

2.10 Fair: 2.06 Bet365

+1.94%

Model: 48.6%

Lokomotive Leipzig vs Carl Zeiss Jena

medium

Sun 8th, 13:00

BTTS

No

2.10 Fair: 2.08 Bet365

+0.96%

Model: 48%

ZFC Meuselwitz vs Altglienicke

medium

Sun 8th, 13:00

FT Result

Home

2.90 Fair: 2.45 1xBet

+18.37%

Model: 40.9%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.60 Fair: 1.48 Bet365

+8.11%

Model: 67.5%

Hertha BSC II vs Greifswalder FC

medium

Tue 10th, 18:00

FT Result

Home

2.50 Fair: 1.97 Pinnacle

+26.9%

Model: 50.8%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.40 Fair: 1.33 Bet365

+5.26%

Model: 75.2%

Altglienicke vs Luckenwalde

medium

Wed 11th, 18:00

FT Result

Away

4.00 Fair: 3.41 Bet365

+17.3%

Model: 29.3%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.00 Fair: 1.76 Bet365

+13.64%

Model: 56.9%

HT Result

Draw

2.30 Fair: 2.22 Bet365

+3.6%

Model: 45.1%

FT Result

Draw

3.75 Fair: 3.62 Bet365

+3.59%

Model: 27.6%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.