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National Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for National

Find value bets for National fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

Aubagne vs Fleury 91

medium

Fri 6th, 18:30

FT Result

Away

2.49 Fair: 2.42 Pinnacle

+2.89%

Model: 41.3%

BTTS

No

1.85 Fair: 1.84 WilliamHill

+0.54%

Model: 54.3%

Quevilly Rouen vs Versailles

medium

Fri 6th, 18:30

HT Result

Home

4.59 Fair: 4.27 1xBet

+7.49%

Model: 23.4%

Caen vs Châteauroux

medium

Fri 6th, 18:30

HT Result

Away

4.58 Fair: 4.43 Pinnacle

+3.39%

Model: 22.6%

FT Result

Draw

3.51 Fair: 3.43 Pinnacle

+2.33%

Model: 29.2%

BTTS

No

1.83 Fair: 1.80 WilliamHill

+1.67%

Model: 55.5%

HT Result

Draw

2.14 Fair: 2.11 Pinnacle

+1.42%

Model: 47.3%

Stade Briochin vs Orléans

medium

Fri 6th, 18:30

HT Result

Home

3.78 Fair: 3.74 1xBet

+1.07%

Model: 26.8%

FT Result

Away

2.37 Fair: 2.36 Pinnacle

+0.42%

Model: 42.3%

Paris 13 Atletico vs Le Puy-en-Velay

medium

Fri 6th, 18:30

FT Result

Away

2.16 Fair: 2.10 Pinnacle

+2.86%

Model: 47.5%

Bourg-en-Bresse vs Rouen

medium

Fri 6th, 18:30

FT Result

Away

1.81 Fair: 1.68 Pinnacle

+7.74%

Model: 59.7%

HT Result

Home

5.34 Fair: 5.24 1xBet

+1.91%

Model: 19.1%

Villefranche vs Valenciennes

medium

Fri 6th, 18:30

BTTS

No

1.96 Fair: 1.85 Kambi Group

+5.95%

Model: 54.2%

HT Result

Draw

2.17 Fair: 2.10 Kambi Group

+3.33%

Model: 47.7%

HT Result

Home

3.88 Fair: 3.86 1xBet

+0.52%

Model: 25.9%

Concarneau vs Dijon

medium

Fri 6th, 18:30

HT Result

Home

4.49 Fair: 4.07 1xBet

+10.32%

Model: 24.5%

FT Result

Away

2.14 Fair: 2.08 Kambi Group

+2.88%

Model: 48.1%

Stade Briochin vs Châteauroux

medium

Tue 17th, 18:30

FT Result

Home

2.73 Fair: 2.67 Pinnacle

+2.25%

Model: 37.5%

HT Result

Home

3.40 Fair: 3.35 Pinnacle

+1.49%

Model: 29.8%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.