Join The Team!

A signing like no other...

Name

Email

Password

Selected Plan:

Pro£19.99/m

Pro w/ API£69.99/m

Season Ticket£179.99

Europa Conference League Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Europa Conference League

Find value bets for Europa Conference League fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

Rijeka vs Strasbourg

medium

Thu 12th, 17:45

FT Result

Home

3.20 Fair: 2.41 Betfair Exchange

+32.78%

Model: 41.5%

HT Result

Home

3.60 Fair: 3.05 Bet365

+18.03%

Model: 32.7%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.57 Fair: 1.48 Bet365

+6.08%

Model: 67.8%

BTTS

No

2.14 Fair: 2.06 Betfair Exchange

+3.88%

Model: 48.6%

Samsunspor vs Rayo Vallecano

medium

Thu 12th, 17:45

FT Result

Home

2.94 Fair: 2.09 Betfair Exchange

+40.67%

Model: 47.9%

HT Result

Home

3.50 Fair: 2.74 Bet365

+27.74%

Model: 36.5%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.57 Fair: 1.38 Bet365

+13.77%

Model: 72.5%

AZ vs Sparta Praha

medium

Thu 12th, 17:45

FT Result

Away

3.55 Fair: 3.29 1xBet

+7.9%

Model: 30.4%

FT Result

Home

2.17 Fair: 2.16 1xBet

+0.46%

Model: 46.3%

Lech Poznań vs Shakhtar Donetsk

medium

Thu 12th, 17:45

FT Result

Home

2.69 Fair: 2.34 1xBet

+14.96%

Model: 42.8%

Double Chance

Home Away

1.33 Fair: 1.31 Bet365

+1.53%

Model: 76.3%

Sigma Olomouc vs FSV Mainz 05

medium

Thu 12th, 20:00

FT Result

Home

4.40 Fair: 2.52 Betfair Exchange

+74.6%

Model: 39.6%

HT Result

Home

4.75 Fair: 2.90 Bet365

+63.79%

Model: 34.5%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.90 Fair: 1.51 Bet365

+25.83%

Model: 66%

Celje vs AEK Athens

medium

Thu 12th, 20:00

HT Result

Home

3.75 Fair: 2.78 Bet365

+34.89%

Model: 36%

FT Result

Home

3.48 Fair: 2.70 1xBet

+28.89%

Model: 37%

BTTS

No

2.26 Fair: 2.11 Betfair Exchange

+7.11%

Model: 47.3%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.72 Fair: 1.61 Bet365

+6.83%

Model: 62.2%

Fiorentina vs Raków Częstochowa

medium

Thu 12th, 20:00

FT Result

Away

5.15 Fair: 2.66 1xBet

+93.61%

Model: 37.6%

HT Result

Away

5.00 Fair: 3.33 Bet365

+50.15%

Model: 30.1%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.10 Fair: 1.58 Bet365

+32.91%

Model: 63.4%

Crystal Palace vs AEK Larnaca

medium

Thu 12th, 20:00

FT Result

Away

13.60 Fair: 4.01 1xBet

+239.15%

Model: 24.9%

HT Result

Away

10.00 Fair: 3.82 Bet365

+161.78%

Model: 26.2%

Double Chance

Draw Away

4.00 Fair: 1.94 Bet365

+106.19%

Model: 51.6%

FT Result

Draw

6.60 Fair: 3.75 Betfair Exchange

+76%

Model: 26.7%

HT Result

Draw

2.75 Fair: 2.31 Bet365

+19.05%

Model: 43.2%

BTTS

Yes

2.30 Fair: 2.24 Betfair Exchange

+2.68%

Model: 44.7%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.