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Chance Liga Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Chance Liga

Find value bets for Chance Liga fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

Sat 7th, 14:00
FT Result
Away
4.75 Fair: 3.59 Bet365
+32.31%
Model: 27.8%
HT Result
Away
5.58 Fair: 4.36 1xBet
+27.98%
Model: 23%
Double Chance
Draw Away
1.95 Fair: 1.78 WilliamHill
+9.55%
Model: 56%
BTTS
Yes
2.20 Fair: 2.09 Bet365
+5.26%
Model: 47.8%
Sat 7th, 14:00
FT Result
Away
3.51 Fair: 2.47 Pinnacle
+42.11%
Model: 40.5%
HT Result
Away
4.19 Fair: 3.09 1xBet
+35.6%
Model: 32.4%
Double Chance
Draw Away
1.70 Fair: 1.50 Bet365
+13.33%
Model: 66.5%
FT Result
Home
2.75 Fair: 2.62 Bet365
+4.96%
Model: 38.2%
Sat 7th, 17:00
HT Result
Home
2.84 Fair: 2.74 Pinnacle
+3.65%
Model: 36.5%
BTTS
Yes
1.90 Fair: 1.85 Bet365
+2.7%
Model: 54%
FT Result
Home
2.15 Fair: 2.11 Kambi Group
+1.9%
Model: 47.5%
Sun 8th, 12:00
FT Result
Away
4.40 Fair: 3.47 Betfair Exchange
+26.8%
Model: 28.9%
HT Result
Away
4.93 Fair: 4.14 1xBet
+19.08%
Model: 24.2%
Double Chance
Draw Away
1.96 Fair: 1.77 Kambi Group
+10.73%
Model: 56.4%
FT Result
Draw
3.65 Fair: 3.63 Kambi Group
+0.55%
Model: 27.6%
FT Result
Home
3.83 Fair: 2.74 Pinnacle
+39.78%
Model: 36.5%
HT Result
Home
4.56 Fair: 3.32 1xBet
+37.35%
Model: 30.2%
Double Chance
Home Draw
1.80 Fair: 1.57 Bet365
+14.65%
Model: 63.9%
Sun 8th, 14:30
FT Result
Away
3.25 Fair: 2.85 Kambi Group
+14.04%
Model: 35.1%
HT Result
Away
3.72 Fair: 3.60 Pinnacle
+3.33%
Model: 27.8%
Double Chance
Draw Away
1.70 Fair: 1.65 Bet365
+3.03%
Model: 60.7%
BTTS
No
2.32 Fair: 2.26 Kambi Group
+2.65%
Model: 44.3%
Sun 8th, 17:30
FT Result
Away
4.07 Fair: 3.08 1xBet
+32.14%
Model: 32.4%
HT Result
Away
5.00 Fair: 3.86 1xBet
+29.53%
Model: 25.9%
Double Chance
Draw Away
1.83 Fair: 1.75 Bet365
+4.57%
Model: 57.2%
Double Chance
Home Away
1.36 Fair: 1.33 1xBet
+2.26%
Model: 75.2%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

  • 0-5% - Small value edge
  • 5-10% - Good value
  • 10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.