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Liga BetPlay Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Liga BetPlay

Find value bets for Liga BetPlay fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

Fortaleza CEIF vs Jaguares de Córdoba

high

Thu 5th, 01:00

HT Result

Away

6.67 Fair: 4.98 1xBet

+33.94%

Model: 20.1%

FT Result

Away

7.20 Fair: 5.43 Betfair Exchange

+32.6%

Model: 18.4%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.39 Fair: 2.19 Pinnacle

+9.13%

Model: 45.7%

FT Result

Draw

3.91 Fair: 3.67 Pinnacle

+6.54%

Model: 27.3%

BTTS

Yes

2.36 Fair: 2.24 Pinnacle

+5.36%

Model: 44.6%

HT Result

Draw

2.20 Fair: 2.16 Bet365

+1.85%

Model: 46.3%

Llaneros vs Internacional de Bogotá

high

Thu 5th, 23:10

FT Result

Away

4.20 Fair: 3.65 Betfair Exchange

+15.07%

Model: 27.4%

HT Result

Away

5.16 Fair: 4.56 1xBet

+13.16%

Model: 21.9%

BTTS

Yes

2.25 Fair: 2.19 Bet365

+2.74%

Model: 45.6%

Junior FC vs Alianza Petrolera

high

Fri 6th, 01:20

FT Result

Home

1.60 Fair: 1.46 Kambi Group

+9.59%

Model: 68.5%

HT Result

Home

2.12 Fair: 2.06 Kambi Group

+2.91%

Model: 48.5%

BTTS

No

1.82 Fair: 1.80 Kambi Group

+1.11%

Model: 55.6%

Deportivo Cali vs Once Caldas

high

Sat 7th, 01:30

FT Result

Away

3.75 Fair: 3.60 Kambi Group

+4.17%

Model: 27.8%

BTTS

No

1.80 Fair: 1.78 Bet365

+1.12%

Model: 56.1%

Rionegro Águilas vs Atlético Nacional

high

Sat 7th, 21:00

FT Result

Home

4.20 Fair: 3.12 Betfair Exchange

+34.62%

Model: 32%

HT Result

Home

5.04 Fair: 4.04 1xBet

+24.75%

Model: 24.8%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.82 Fair: 1.63 1xBet

+11.66%

Model: 61.4%

FT Result

Draw

3.45 Fair: 3.40 Kambi Group

+1.47%

Model: 29.4%

HT Result

Draw

2.18 Fair: 2.15 Kambi Group

+1.4%

Model: 46.6%

BTTS

No

1.96 Fair: 1.95 Kambi Group

+0.51%

Model: 51.2%

Llaneros vs Jaguares de Córdoba

high

Mon 9th, 21:00

FT Result

Away

7.50 Fair: 3.96 Bet365

+89.39%

Model: 25.3%

HT Result

Away

7.00 Fair: 4.45 Bet365

+57.3%

Model: 22.5%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.41 Fair: 1.84 1xBet

+30.98%

Model: 54.3%

FT Result

Draw

3.84 Fair: 3.45 1xBet

+11.3%

Model: 29%

BTTS

Yes

2.25 Fair: 2.14 Bet365

+5.14%

Model: 46.7%

HT Result

Draw

2.20 Fair: 2.16 Bet365

+1.85%

Model: 46.4%

Millonarios vs Cúcuta Deportivo

high

Mon 9th, 23:20

HT Result

Away

8.00 Fair: 5.35 Bet365

+49.53%

Model: 18.7%

FT Result

Away

8.50 Fair: 6.11 Bet365

+39.12%

Model: 16.4%

Double Chance

Draw Away

3.00 Fair: 2.42 Bet365

+23.97%

Model: 41.4%

FT Result

Draw

4.33 Fair: 4.00 Bet365

+8.25%

Model: 25%

Deportivo Pasto vs América de Cali

high

Tue 10th, 01:30

FT Result

Home

2.75 Fair: 2.20 Pinnacle

+25%

Model: 45.5%

HT Result

Home

3.50 Fair: 3.01 Bet365

+16.28%

Model: 33.3%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.40 Fair: 1.34 Bet365

+4.48%

Model: 74.7%

Atlético Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pereira

high

Tue 10th, 23:20

HT Result

Away

9.50 Fair: 6.74 Bet365

+40.95%

Model: 14.8%

FT Result

Away

10.33 Fair: 8.65 Pinnacle

+19.42%

Model: 11.6%

Double Chance

Draw Away

3.40 Fair: 3.09 Bet365

+10.03%

Model: 32.3%

BTTS

Yes

2.62 Fair: 2.44 Bet365

+7.38%

Model: 40.9%

Junior FC vs Atlético Nacional

high

Wed 11th, 01:30

FT Result

Home

2.91 Fair: 2.26 1xBet

+28.76%

Model: 44.3%

HT Result

Home

3.63 Fair: 3.06 1xBet

+18.63%

Model: 32.7%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.55 Fair: 1.39 WilliamHill

+11.51%

Model: 71.9%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.