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Super League Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Super League

Find value bets for Super League fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

Chengdu Rongcheng vs Shenzhen Peng City

high

Fri 6th, 11:35

FT Result

Away

10.90 Fair: 6.63 1xBet

+64.4%

Model: 15.1%

Double Chance

Draw Away

3.98 Fair: 2.87 Pinnacle

+38.68%

Model: 34.9%

HT Result

Away

9.03 Fair: 6.99 Pinnacle

+29.18%

Model: 14.3%

FT Result

Draw

6.07 Fair: 5.05 1xBet

+20.2%

Model: 19.8%

Shandong Taishan vs Liaoning Tieren FC

high

Sat 7th, 07:30

HT Result

Away

5.80 Fair: 4.08 Kambi Group

+42.16%

Model: 24.5%

FT Result

Away

6.25 Fair: 4.57 Kambi Group

+36.76%

Model: 21.9%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.50 Fair: 2.23 Kambi Group

+12.11%

Model: 44.8%

BTTS

No

2.01 Fair: 2.00 Pinnacle

+0.5%

Model: 50.1%

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

high

Sat 7th, 07:30

FT Result

Away

4.79 Fair: 2.62 1xBet

+82.82%

Model: 38.1%

HT Result

Away

5.11 Fair: 2.94 Pinnacle

+73.81%

Model: 34%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.20 Fair: 1.57 Pinnacle

+40.13%

Model: 63.8%

FT Result

Draw

4.17 Fair: 3.90 1xBet

+6.92%

Model: 25.7%

HT Result

Draw

2.46 Fair: 2.43 Pinnacle

+1.23%

Model: 41.1%

Shanghai Shenhua vs Dalian Yingbo

high

Sat 7th, 09:00

FT Result

Away

8.50 Fair: 5.69 Bet365

+49.38%

Model: 17.6%

HT Result

Away

7.35 Fair: 5.19 Pinnacle

+41.62%

Model: 19.3%

Double Chance

Draw Away

3.21 Fair: 2.46 Pinnacle

+30.49%

Model: 40.6%

FT Result

Draw

5.28 Fair: 4.35 1xBet

+21.38%

Model: 23%

BTTS

No

1.94 Fair: 1.93 Kambi Group

+0.52%

Model: 51.8%

Yunnan Yukun vs Qingdao Hainiu

high

Sat 7th, 11:35

BTTS

No

2.28 Fair: 1.91 Kambi Group

+19.37%

Model: 52.3%

FT Result

Home

1.80 Fair: 1.73 Pinnacle

+4.05%

Model: 57.9%

HT Result

Home

2.28 Fair: 2.27 1xBet

+0.44%

Model: 44%

Shanghai Port vs Henan Songshan Longmen

high

Sat 7th, 11:35

FT Result

Away

4.52 Fair: 3.32 Pinnacle

+36.14%

Model: 30.1%

HT Result

Away

4.68 Fair: 3.77 Pinnacle

+24.14%

Model: 26.5%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.18 Fair: 1.82 1xBet

+19.78%

Model: 54.9%

BTTS

No

2.56 Fair: 2.32 1xBet

+10.34%

Model: 43%

FT Result

Draw

4.38 Fair: 4.03 1xBet

+8.68%

Model: 24.8%

HT Result

Draw

2.71 Fair: 2.63 Pinnacle

+3.04%

Model: 38%

Zhejiang vs Qingdao West Coast

high

Sun 8th, 07:30

FT Result

Away

4.03 Fair: 3.69 Pinnacle

+9.21%

Model: 27.1%

BTTS

No

2.35 Fair: 2.31 1xBet

+1.73%

Model: 43.4%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.95 Fair: 1.94 1xBet

+0.52%

Model: 51.7%

Wuhan Three Towns vs Beijing Guoan

high

Sun 8th, 11:00

FT Result

Home

4.06 Fair: 3.83 1xBet

+6.01%

Model: 26.1%

BTTS

No

2.65 Fair: 2.56 Kambi Group

+3.52%

Model: 39.1%

Double Chance

Home Draw

2.10 Fair: 2.09 Bet365

+0.48%

Model: 47.7%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.