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Paulista A4 Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Paulista A4

Find value bets for Paulista A4 fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

São Caetano vs Comercial

medium

Wed 4th, 18:00

FT Result

Away

4.75 Fair: 3.13 Kambi Group

+51.76%

Model: 32%

HT Result

Away

5.55 Fair: 4.29 1xBet

+29.37%

Model: 23.3%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.87 Fair: 1.55 Kambi Group

+20.65%

Model: 64.5%

FT Result

Draw

3.25 Fair: 3.08 Bet365

+5.52%

Model: 32.5%

medium

Wed 4th, 18:00

HT Result

Home

3.62 Fair: 3.46 1xBet

+4.62%

Model: 28.9%

EC Lemense vs Penapolense

medium

Wed 4th, 22:00

HT Result

Away

4.41 Fair: 4.06 1xBet

+8.62%

Model: 24.6%

FT Result

Away

3.32 Fair: 3.23 1xBet

+2.79%

Model: 30.9%

BTTS

Yes

2.13 Fair: 2.08 1xBet

+2.4%

Model: 48.1%

Inter de Bebedouro vs AEA

medium

Wed 4th, 23:00

FT Result

Away

9.95 Fair: 4.79 1xBet

+107.72%

Model: 20.9%

HT Result

Away

9.70 Fair: 5.11 1xBet

+89.82%

Model: 19.6%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.78 Fair: 2.11 1xBet

+31.75%

Model: 47.5%

BTTS

Yes

2.60 Fair: 2.19 1xBet

+18.72%

Model: 45.6%

FT Result

Draw

3.92 Fair: 3.76 1xBet

+4.26%

Model: 26.6%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.