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Copa do Brasil Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Copa do Brasil

Find value bets for Copa do Brasil fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

Nova Iguaçu vs Lagarto

poor

Wed 4th, 22:00

FT Result

Away

3.45 Fair: 3.32 Kambi Group

+3.92%

Model: 30.1%

HT Result

Away

4.00 Fair: 3.85 Bet365

+3.9%

Model: 26%

Tuna Luso vs Tocantinópolis

poor

Wed 4th, 22:00

FT Result

Home

1.85 Fair: 1.68 WilliamHill

+10.12%

Model: 59.5%

Velo Clube vs Vila Nova

poor

Wed 4th, 22:00

FT Result

Home

3.62 Fair: 2.94 1xBet

+23.13%

Model: 34.1%

Capital FC vs Manaus

poor

Wed 4th, 22:30

FT Result

Away

2.30 Fair: 1.54 Bet365

+49.35%

Model: 65.1%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.33 Fair: 1.14 Bet365

+16.67%

Model: 87.4%

Double Chance

Home Away

1.36 Fair: 1.29 Bet365

+5.43%

Model: 77.7%

BTTS

No

1.80 Fair: 1.74 Bet365

+3.45%

Model: 57.4%

HT Result

Away

3.00 Fair: 2.90 Bet365

+3.45%

Model: 34.5%

Avaí vs Porto Vitória

poor

Wed 4th, 22:30

HT Result

Away

6.50 Fair: 5.30 Bet365

+22.64%

Model: 18.9%

FT Result

Away

6.50 Fair: 5.76 Bet365

+12.85%

Model: 17.4%

FT Result

Draw

4.10 Fair: 4.06 Kambi Group

+0.99%

Model: 24.7%

BTTS

Yes

2.20 Fair: 2.19 Bet365

+0.46%

Model: 45.6%

Betim vs Operário PR

poor

Wed 4th, 22:30

FT Result

Home

3.55 Fair: 3.19 1xBet

+11.29%

Model: 31.3%

FT Result

Draw

3.25 Fair: 3.24 Bet365

+0.31%

Model: 30.9%

Rio Branco ES vs Athletic Club

poor

Wed 4th, 23:00

FT Result

Away

2.80 Fair: 2.62 Kambi Group

+6.87%

Model: 38.2%

FT Result

Home

3.10 Fair: 3.06 Bet365

+1.31%

Model: 32.7%

Santa Catarina vs Cuiabá

poor

Wed 4th, 23:00

FT Result

Home

3.15 Fair: 2.62 Kambi Group

+20.23%

Model: 38.1%

HT Result

Home

3.50 Fair: 3.36 Bet365

+4.17%

Model: 29.7%

Ivinhema vs Volta Redonda

poor

Wed 4th, 23:30

HT Result

Home

5.00 Fair: 3.13 Bet365

+59.74%

Model: 31.9%

FT Result

Home

4.87 Fair: 3.38 1xBet

+44.08%

Model: 29.6%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.90 Fair: 1.79 Bet365

+6.15%

Model: 55.7%

Manauara vs Itabaiana

poor

Thu 5th, 00:00

HT Result

Home

3.40 Fair: 2.77 Bet365

+22.74%

Model: 36.2%

FT Result

Home

2.75 Fair: 2.36 Bet365

+16.53%

Model: 42.4%

BTTS

No

1.90 Fair: 1.77 Bet365

+7.34%

Model: 56.4%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.50 Fair: 1.41 Bet365

+6.38%

Model: 71%

América Mineiro vs Tirol

poor

Thu 5th, 00:30

FT Result

Away

21.00 Fair: 4.42 Bet365

+375.11%

Model: 22.6%

HT Result

Away

15.00 Fair: 4.96 Bet365

+202.42%

Model: 20.2%

Double Chance

Draw Away

5.50 Fair: 1.92 Bet365

+186.46%

Model: 52.2%

FT Result

Draw

7.10 Fair: 3.38 1xBet

+110.06%

Model: 29.6%

HT Result

Draw

2.87 Fair: 2.20 Bet365

+30.45%

Model: 45.4%

BTTS

Yes

2.50 Fair: 2.37 Bet365

+5.49%

Model: 42.1%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.