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New South Wales Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for New South Wales

Find value bets for New South Wales fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

Sutherland Sharks vs Western Sydney W. II

medium

Fri 6th, 08:45

FT Result

Away

4.37 Fair: 3.41 1xBet

+28.15%

Model: 29.3%

HT Result

Away

4.33 Fair: 3.71 Bet365

+16.71%

Model: 26.9%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.10 Fair: 1.90 Bet365

+10.53%

Model: 52.7%

SD Raiders vs Sydney United 58 FC

medium

Sat 7th, 06:00

FT Result

Home

4.46 Fair: 2.82 1xBet

+58.16%

Model: 35.5%

Double Chance

Home Draw

2.30 Fair: 1.68 Bet365

+36.9%

Model: 59.6%

HT Result

Home

4.75 Fair: 3.56 Bet365

+33.43%

Model: 28.1%

FT Result

Draw

4.15 Fair: 4.14 1xBet

+0.24%

Model: 24.1%

NWS Spirit vs St George City FA

medium

Sat 7th, 06:30

FT Result

Away

3.16 Fair: 2.76 1xBet

+14.49%

Model: 36.2%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.66 Fair: 1.64 Bet365

+1.22%

Model: 61%

HT Result

Away

3.60 Fair: 3.58 Bet365

+0.56%

Model: 28%

University of NSW vs Marconi Stallions

medium

Sat 7th, 07:15

FT Result

Home

5.33 Fair: 2.91 1xBet

+83.16%

Model: 34.3%

HT Result

Home

5.33 Fair: 3.34 1xBet

+59.58%

Model: 29.9%

Double Chance

Home Draw

2.27 Fair: 1.66 1xBet

+36.75%

Model: 60.4%

FT Result

Draw

4.05 Fair: 3.84 1xBet

+5.47%

Model: 26%

BTTS

No

2.22 Fair: 2.13 1xBet

+4.23%

Model: 46.9%

St. George Saints vs Manly United

medium

Sat 7th, 07:30

FT Result

Home

1.90 Fair: 1.78 Bet365

+6.74%

Model: 56.2%

Rockdale Ilinden FC vs Sydney Olympic

medium

Sat 7th, 08:30

FT Result

Away

4.31 Fair: 2.87 1xBet

+50.17%

Model: 34.8%

HT Result

Away

4.47 Fair: 3.42 1xBet

+30.7%

Model: 29.3%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.15 Fair: 1.73 Bet365

+24.28%

Model: 57.8%

BTTS

No

2.75 Fair: 2.57 Bet365

+7%

Model: 38.9%

HT Result

Draw

2.75 Fair: 2.72 Bet365

+1.1%

Model: 36.7%

APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Blacktown City

medium

Sat 7th, 08:30

HT Result

Away

4.47 Fair: 4.35 1xBet

+2.76%

Model: 23%

BTTS

No

2.53 Fair: 2.51 1xBet

+0.8%

Model: 39.8%

Wollongong Wolves vs Sydney II

medium

Sun 8th, 04:00

BTTS

No

2.59 Fair: 2.36 1xBet

+9.75%

Model: 42.3%

FT Result

Home

2.39 Fair: 2.29 1xBet

+4.37%

Model: 43.8%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.