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Liga Profesional de Fútbol Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Find value bets for Liga Profesional de Fútbol fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

Lanús vs Boca Juniors

poor

Thu 5th, 00:00

FT Result

Home

3.05 Fair: 2.52 Betfair Exchange

+21.03%

Model: 39.7%

BTTS

Yes

2.28 Fair: 2.16 Betfair Exchange

+5.56%

Model: 46.4%

HT Result

Home

3.70 Fair: 3.51 Pinnacle

+5.41%

Model: 28.5%

Newell's Old Boys vs Platense

poor

Tue 10th, 20:30

FT Result

Away

3.15 Fair: 2.40 Pinnacle

+31.25%

Model: 41.8%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.48 Fair: 1.41 Kambi Group

+4.96%

Model: 71.1%

BTTS

Yes

2.33 Fair: 2.24 1xBet

+4.02%

Model: 44.6%

HT Result

Away

4.29 Fair: 4.16 1xBet

+3.13%

Model: 24.1%

Double Chance

Home Away

1.44 Fair: 1.41 WilliamHill

+2.13%

Model: 70.7%

Tigre vs Vélez Sarsfield

poor

Tue 10th, 22:45

FT Result

Away

3.36 Fair: 3.18 Pinnacle

+5.66%

Model: 31.5%

HT Result

Home

3.51 Fair: 3.33 Pinnacle

+5.41%

Model: 30%

Independiente vs Unión Santa Fe

poor

Tue 10th, 22:45

FT Result

Home

2.11 Fair: 2.02 Pinnacle

+4.46%

Model: 49.4%

BTTS

Yes

2.10 Fair: 2.06 WilliamHill

+1.94%

Model: 48.5%

Sarmiento vs Racing Club

poor

Wed 11th, 01:00

FT Result

Home

3.80 Fair: 3.26 Pinnacle

+16.56%

Model: 30.7%

Banfield vs Gimnasia La Plata

poor

Wed 11th, 20:30

FT Result

Home

2.26 Fair: 2.21 1xBet

+2.26%

Model: 45.2%

Argentinos Juniors vs Rosario Central

poor

Wed 11th, 20:30

FT Result

Away

3.95 Fair: 3.64 1xBet

+8.52%

Model: 27.5%

Atlético Tucumán vs Aldosivi

poor

Thu 12th, 01:00

FT Result

Home

2.02 Fair: 1.82 1xBet

+10.99%

Model: 54.9%

Independiente Rivadavia vs Barracas Central

poor

Thu 12th, 01:00

FT Result

Away

5.00 Fair: 4.22 1xBet

+18.48%

Model: 23.7%

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto vs Belgrano

poor

Thu 12th, 22:15

FT Result

Home

3.60 Fair: 2.97 1xBet

+21.21%

Model: 33.7%

Talleres Córdoba vs Instituto

poor

Thu 12th, 22:15

FT Result

Home

2.09 Fair: 2.08 1xBet

+0.48%

Model: 48.1%

Huracán vs River Plate

poor

Fri 13th, 00:30

FT Result

Home

3.00 Fair: 2.82 1xBet

+6.38%

Model: 35.4%

Estudiantes vs Lanús

poor

Fri 13th, 23:00

FT Result

Home

2.16 Fair: 2.10 1xBet

+2.86%

Model: 47.5%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.