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  1. Bet of the Day
Tuesday 10 November

Bet of the Day

The picks our probability model likes most for tomorrow, then every match ranked by how likely it is to land. No tipsters and no guesswork: every pick is locked before kick-off and tracked.

Tomorrow's picks

How we pick
Bet of the Day

Under 3.5 goals

Trival Valderas v Leganés

Spain Copa Del Rey

Chance
73%
Odds
1.60
Edge
+16.2%

Our model gives this a 73% chance. Odds of 1.60 imply 63%, an edge of 16.2%.

Match preview : Trival Valderas vs Leganés
Value play

Under 2.5 goals

Pamplona v SD Eibar

Spain Copa Del Rey

Chance
48%
Odds
2.69
Edge
+28.2%

The biggest edge over the bookmaker with at least a 45% chance.

Match preview : Pamplona vs SD Eibar

Earlier today

Bet of the Day Under 3.5 goalsPlymouth Parkway v Berkhamsted · 1-1 1.45 Won Safest pick Over 1.5 goalsLeón v Guadalajara · 1-1 1.20 Won Value play Under 3.5 goalsKristiansund v Vålerenga · 1-0 1.86 Won Bigger price Under 2.5 goalsTorreense v União de Leiria · 2-3 2.03 Lost

Every prediction, ranked

Full-Time Result

You're seeing the top 5 in each market for the next 24 hours.

See every game with Pro
1 Tomorrow Deportivo Alavés to win Anaitasuna FT v Deportivo Alavés Spain · Copa Del Rey 81% Fair 1.24 1.02 -17.5%
2 Tomorrow Valencia to win Tavernes v Valencia Spain · Copa Del Rey 79% Fair 1.26 1.00 -20.7%
3 Tomorrow Salisbury to win Salisbury v Braintree Town England · Enterprise National League South 78% Fair 1.28 1.36 +6.5% +EV
4 Tomorrow Needham Market to win Stamford v Needham Market England · Non League Premier: Southern Central 78% Fair 1.28 1.36 +5.9% +EV
5 Tomorrow Aurora to win Aurora v Universitario de Vinto Bolivia · Liga De Futbol Prof 76% Fair 1.31 1.68 +28.5% +EV
Show every game

Track record Every pick is locked before kick-off and settled at the odds we published. Last 30 days, logged since 8 November 2026.

Hit rates and profit appear once 10 picks have settled. 8 so far.

Sun 8 Nov Bet of the Day Under 3.5 goals Brest v Olympique Lyonnais · 2-0 1.44 Won
Sun 8 Nov Safest pick Over 1.5 goals Lens v Olympique Marseille · 1-2 1.20 Won
Sun 8 Nov Value play Over 2.5 goals Manchester United v Aston Villa · 4-4 1.52 Won
Sun 8 Nov Bigger price FC Barcelona to win Atlético de Madrid v FC Barcelona · 1-2 2.04 Won

How Bet of the Day works

One model, every match

Our probability model prices every game from team form, home and away records, squad news and context, then ranks each market by how likely the result is.

Four picks a day

  • Bet of the Day The most likely pick priced 1.40 or bigger.
  • Safest pick The most likely pick priced 1.20 or bigger.
  • Value play The biggest edge over the bookmaker with at least a 45% chance.
  • Bigger price The most likely pick priced 2.00 or bigger.

Edge, explained

Edge compares our probability with the price. A 60% chance at odds of 2.00 is a 20% edge. Positive edge (+EV) means the odds are bigger than they should be.

Go further

Value bets Every bet today where the odds beat our model, filtered by market, league and edge. Live in-play alerts Telegram alerts the moment our model spots in-play value. We scan odds every second. Betting trends Which teams keep hitting over 2.5, both teams to score and more. Betslip generator Doubles, trebles and accas built from probability-backed picks.

Bet of the Day FAQs

What is the bet of the day?

It is the single pick our probability model rates highest for the day at a price worth backing: the most likely result across the main football markets with odds of 1.40 or bigger. It sits alongside a safest pick, a value play and a bigger price, and every pick is chosen by the model, not a tipster.

How are the picks chosen?

Our probability model prices every match in the main markets: full-time result, double chance, both teams to score and goals. Each group takes the strongest candidate that meets its rule, one game per group, with picks from the leagues people follow most coming first. The picks are locked for the day so they cannot be changed after kick-off.

What is the difference between the safest pick, value play and bigger price?

The safest pick is the most likely result priced 1.20 or bigger. The value play is the pick with the biggest edge over the bookmaker that still has at least a 45% chance. The bigger price is the most likely result priced 2.00 or bigger.

What does edge mean?

Edge compares our probability with the bookmaker's price: (odds × probability) − 1. If our model gives a team a 60% chance and the odds are 2.00, the edge is 20%. A positive edge (+EV) means the odds are bigger than our model thinks they should be.

Are past picks tracked?

Yes. Every daily pick is logged before kick-off and settled against the final score at the odds we published, so the hit rate and profit in the track record are what you would have got.

Is Bet of the Day free?

Yes. The daily picks and the top 5 games in all 15 markets for the next 24 hours are free. Pro shows every ranked game, any day up to two weeks ahead, filters by probability, odds, edge and league, saved strategies and combined CSV exports.

18+. Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. Please gamble responsibly: BeGambleAware.org.