End-of-season fixtures are where this market gets interesting and dangerous in equal measure. The Peruvian clubs dominating the top of the table — Universitario, Deportivo Garcilaso, FC Cajamarca — are worth respecting because Liga 1 structurally produces second-half goal surges, partly due to the altitude factor in away legs affecting early-game tempo. Universitario's sample is the most credible of the group and the odds still offer genuine value.
The caveat that matters: Brunswick Juventus sitting at 100% on six matches is a small-sample flag, not a signal. Six fixtures in lower-league Australian football can represent wildly different opponent quality and scoreline contexts. Lean into the Peruvian cluster where the sample holds up and the league baseline supports the trend — fade the 100% outliers until the record doubles.
