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Eredivisie Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Eredivisie

Find value bets for Eredivisie fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

Fri 10th, 19:00
FT Result
Away
16.00 Fair: 7.37 Betfair Exchange
+117.1%
Model: 13.6%
Double Chance
Draw Away
5.05 Fair: 3.01 1xBet
+67.77%
Model: 33.2%
FT Result
Draw
8.40 Fair: 5.08 1xBet
+65.35%
Model: 19.7%
HT Result
Away
10.00 Fair: 6.12 Bet365
+63.4%
Model: 16.3%
HT Result
Draw
3.34 Fair: 2.87 Pinnacle
+16.38%
Model: 34.9%
Sat 11th, 15:30
FT Result
Away
6.39 Fair: 3.67 Pinnacle
+74.11%
Model: 27.3%
HT Result
Away
5.90 Fair: 4.18 1xBet
+41.15%
Model: 23.9%
Double Chance
Draw Away
2.30 Fair: 1.94 Bet365
+18.56%
Model: 51.5%
HT Result
Draw
2.58 Fair: 2.40 Pinnacle
+7.5%
Model: 41.8%
Sat 11th, 17:45
BTTS
No
2.90 Fair: 2.47 1xBet
+17.41%
Model: 40.4%
HT Result
Home
3.97 Fair: 3.60 Pinnacle
+10.28%
Model: 27.8%
FT Result
Home
4.00 Fair: 3.76 Kambi Group
+6.38%
Model: 26.6%
HT Result
Draw
2.71 Fair: 2.68 Pinnacle
+1.12%
Model: 37.3%
BTTS
No
2.60 Fair: 2.20 Kambi Group
+18.18%
Model: 45.4%
HT Result
Draw
2.57 Fair: 2.51 Pinnacle
+2.39%
Model: 39.8%
FT Result
Draw
4.20 Fair: 4.14 Betfair Exchange
+1.45%
Model: 24.2%
Sat 11th, 20:00
FT Result
Home
5.75 Fair: 3.27 Kambi Group
+75.84%
Model: 30.6%
HT Result
Home
5.29 Fair: 3.45 Pinnacle
+53.33%
Model: 29%
Double Chance
Home Draw
2.43 Fair: 1.79 Kambi Group
+35.75%
Model: 55.7%
FT Result
Draw
4.50 Fair: 3.98 Betfair Exchange
+13.07%
Model: 25.2%
BTTS
No
2.33 Fair: 2.30 Kambi Group
+1.3%
Model: 43.5%
HT Result
Draw
2.68 Fair: 2.66 Pinnacle
+0.75%
Model: 37.7%
Sun 12th, 11:15
HT Result
Home
3.16 Fair: 2.94 Pinnacle
+7.48%
Model: 34%
BTTS
No
2.40 Fair: 2.26 WilliamHill
+6.19%
Model: 44.2%
FT Result
Home
2.61 Fair: 2.48 1xBet
+5.24%
Model: 40.4%
Sun 12th, 13:30
BTTS
No
3.00 Fair: 2.73 Bet365
+9.89%
Model: 36.6%
FT Result
Home
2.26 Fair: 2.23 Betfair Exchange
+1.35%
Model: 44.9%
Sun 12th, 13:30
BTTS
No
2.48 Fair: 2.14 Kambi Group
+15.89%
Model: 46.7%
FT Result
Away
3.25 Fair: 3.11 Kambi Group
+4.5%
Model: 32.1%
FT Result
Draw
3.89 Fair: 3.82 Pinnacle
+1.83%
Model: 26.2%
Double Chance
Draw Away
1.73 Fair: 1.71 Kambi Group
+1.17%
Model: 58.3%
Sun 12th, 15:45
BTTS
No
2.73 Fair: 2.16 1xBet
+26.39%
Model: 46.2%
FT Result
Home
1.70 Fair: 1.51 Bet365
+12.58%
Model: 66%
HT Result
Home
2.10 Fair: 2.00 Bet365
+5%
Model: 49.9%
Double Chance
Home Draw
1.21 Fair: 1.17 1xBet
+3.42%
Model: 85.2%
Wed 22nd, 19:00
HT Result
Home
3.10 Fair: 3.07 Bet365
+0.98%
Model: 32.6%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

  • 0-5% - Small value edge
  • 5-10% - Good value
  • 10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.