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Eredivisie Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Eredivisie

Find value bets for Eredivisie fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

Heracles Almelo vs FC Utrecht

good

Fri 6th, 19:00

HT Result

Home

4.16 Fair: 3.69 Pinnacle

+12.74%

Model: 27.1%

FT Result

Home

3.70 Fair: 3.62 Betfair Exchange

+2.21%

Model: 27.6%

FC Groningen vs Ajax

good

Sat 7th, 15:30

BTTS

No

2.43 Fair: 2.14 Kambi Group

+13.55%

Model: 46.8%

HT Result

Home

3.33 Fair: 3.11 Pinnacle

+7.07%

Model: 32.2%

good

Sat 7th, 19:00

FT Result

Away

8.20 Fair: 4.85 1xBet

+69.07%

Model: 20.6%

HT Result

Away

6.87 Fair: 4.65 Pinnacle

+47.74%

Model: 21.5%

Double Chance

Draw Away

3.40 Fair: 2.41 Pinnacle

+41.08%

Model: 41.4%

FT Result

Draw

5.90 Fair: 4.81 Betfair Exchange

+22.66%

Model: 20.8%

HT Result

Draw

3.08 Fair: 2.86 Pinnacle

+7.69%

Model: 35%

BTTS

No

2.55 Fair: 2.45 Kambi Group

+4.08%

Model: 40.8%

Excelsior vs SC Heerenveen

good

Sat 7th, 20:00

HT Result

Home

3.48 Fair: 2.63 Pinnacle

+32.32%

Model: 38.1%

FT Result

Home

2.89 Fair: 2.29 1xBet

+26.2%

Model: 43.7%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.62 Fair: 1.49 1xBet

+8.72%

Model: 67.1%

BTTS

No

2.55 Fair: 2.52 Kambi Group

+1.19%

Model: 39.6%

Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle

good

Sun 8th, 11:15

FT Result

Away

4.75 Fair: 4.16 Bet365

+14.18%

Model: 24%

BTTS

No

2.40 Fair: 2.22 Kambi Group

+8.11%

Model: 45%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.18 Fair: 2.09 1xBet

+4.31%

Model: 47.9%

HT Result

Away

4.88 Fair: 4.74 Pinnacle

+2.95%

Model: 21.1%

FT Result

Draw

4.23 Fair: 4.19 Pinnacle

+0.95%

Model: 23.9%

Go Ahead Eagles vs FC Twente

good

Sun 8th, 13:30

BTTS

No

2.43 Fair: 1.96 Kambi Group

+23.98%

Model: 50.9%

HT Result

Home

4.54 Fair: 3.82 Pinnacle

+18.85%

Model: 26.2%

FT Result

Home

4.50 Fair: 3.87 Kambi Group

+16.28%

Model: 25.8%

FT Result

Draw

4.10 Fair: 3.67 Betfair Exchange

+11.72%

Model: 27.3%

Double Chance

Home Draw

2.08 Fair: 1.88 Kambi Group

+10.64%

Model: 53.1%

Fortuna Sittard vs Telstar

good

Sun 8th, 13:30

FT Result

Away

3.60 Fair: 2.87 WilliamHill

+25.44%

Model: 34.9%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.83 Fair: 1.63 WilliamHill

+12.27%

Model: 61.4%

HT Result

Away

3.82 Fair: 3.41 Pinnacle

+12.02%

Model: 29.3%

BTTS

No

2.33 Fair: 2.17 Kambi Group

+7.37%

Model: 46%

FT Result

Draw

3.83 Fair: 3.78 Pinnacle

+1.32%

Model: 26.5%

NAC Breda vs Feyenoord

good

Sun 8th, 15:45

FT Result

Home

4.22 Fair: 2.85 1xBet

+48.07%

Model: 35%

HT Result

Home

4.45 Fair: 3.48 1xBet

+27.87%

Model: 28.7%

Double Chance

Home Draw

2.00 Fair: 1.69 1xBet

+18.34%

Model: 59.2%

NEC Nijmegen vs FC Volendam

good

Sun 8th, 19:00

FT Result

Away

8.50 Fair: 5.86 Bet365

+45.05%

Model: 17.1%

HT Result

Away

6.50 Fair: 4.94 Bet365

+31.58%

Model: 20.3%

FT Result

Draw

6.60 Fair: 5.16 Betfair Exchange

+27.91%

Model: 19.4%

Double Chance

Draw Away

3.40 Fair: 2.74 Bet365

+24.09%

Model: 36.4%

HT Result

Draw

2.95 Fair: 2.85 Pinnacle

+3.51%

Model: 35.1%

PEC Zwolle vs FC Groningen

good

Fri 13th, 19:00

FT Result

Home

3.02 Fair: 2.39 1xBet

+26.36%

Model: 41.8%

HT Result

Home

3.40 Fair: 3.08 Bet365

+10.39%

Model: 32.5%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.66 Fair: 1.51 Bet365

+9.93%

Model: 66.1%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.