Data-Driven Match Insights & Betting Value Analysis
Wigan average just 0.8 goals across their last 10 home games and BTTS has landed in only 2 of those, pointing to tight matches at the DW. Leyton Orient, however, have seen Over 2.5 in 7 of their last 10 overall and 8 of their last 10 away. The model makes Over 2.5 a 52.1% chance versus 1.98 odds (50.5% implied), giving a modest +3.2% value edge.
Home Win: 40.1%Betis see most goals in 1H in 6 of their last 10, with games averaging 1.7 first‑half goals vs 1.0 after the break. Espanyol have scored in 9 straight matches, driving BTTS in 9/10 and Over 2.5 in 8/10. That supports Over 1.0 1H goals at 1.82 and Over 2.5 at 1.84.
Stuttgart are 7W-1D-2L in their last 10 at home and average 2.3 goals with 16 shots and 6.5 on target per game. The model gives them a 44.4% win chance versus 40.3% implied at 2.48, making the Home Win a +10.2% value angle against a Dortmund side conceding 1.5 gpg recently.
Al-Fayha have hit 20 goals in their last 10 (2.0 per game) and scored in 9 of those, while NEOM managed only 10 in the same span and are winless in 3. Our model still makes NEOM slight favourites (home win 49.6% vs away win 26.1%), hinting the market may lean too far toward form over venue.
AZ have conceded 11 goals in 10 matches vs Fortuna’s 21, yet both trend high-scoring: Over 2.5 has hit in 8/10 AZ games and 10/10 Fortuna games. The market’s 1.40 (implied 71.4%) for Over 2.5 sits just above the model’s 61.9%, so goal expectancy is high but price offers no value.
Telstar and Groningen have both scored in 9 of their last 10 games, with BTTS hitting in 8 of Telstar’s and 7 of Groningen’s, and Over 2.5 in 8/10 and 7/10 respectively. BTTS Yes is just 1.58 (implied 63.3%) vs a 59.7% model edge, so the goal trend is strong but priced efficiently.
Brest have 7 clean sheets in their last 10 home games and BTTS has landed just once in that run, while Rennes have failed to score in 4 of their last 10 overall and lost to nil in 3. Yet BTTS Yes is just 1.70 (implied 58.8%) vs a 60% model edge, so the numbers lean to Brest’s defence but offer only marginal BTTS value.
Al Hilal are 8W-2D-0L in their last 10 home games, scoring 2.6 per match and netting in 8 straight, while Al Taawoun have shipped 14 in their last 10. The home win is just 1.18 (implied 84.7%) vs a model 73.0%, so backing Hilal outright offers no value despite the clear superiority.
Recent scoring rates project just 2 goals (1.3 + 0.7), with Parma blanking in 4 of 10 and averaging 0.8 goals in last 10 away. Model gives Under 2.5 at 61.7% vs implied 59.5% at 1.68, a modest +3.7% value in what profiles as a low‑scoring Lazio home win or grind.
Ajax have kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 home games and conceded only 11 goals in their last 10 overall, but they’ve been outshot in 7 of those. Twente arrive averaging 17.8 shots and 6.5 on target per game, making Ajax’s defence vs Twente’s volume a key clash.
NEC are 7W-3D-0L in their last 10 away games, scoring 2.6 per match and averaging 19.2 shots (7.1 on target), while Excelsior are just 1W-4D-5L in 10. The model gives NEC a 48.2% win chance vs 50.3% implied at 1.99, so the away price is strong but not real value.
BTTS (Both Teams To Score) probability indicates the likelihood that both teams will score at least one goal during the match, based on offensive and defensive statistics. Explore more BTTS statistics and trends across different leagues.
Value edge represents the percentage difference between our AI's calculated probability and the bookmaker's implied odds. A positive value suggests the bet may offer value. Find more opportunities on our value bets page.
Our AI model has been tested on thousands of historical football matches and achieves accuracy rates above industry standards. You can track our performance with our bet tracking tool. However, football is inherently unpredictable and no prediction is guaranteed.
We provide AI predictions for major European leagues including the Premier League, La Liga, Serie A, Bundesliga, Ligue 1, and Championship. View all leagues on our fixtures page.
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OddAlerts is a football analytics platform providing AI-powered predictions since 2020. Our prediction model is developed by sports data scientists and continuously refined using machine learning techniques. We analyze over 100,000 matches annually across 2,500+ leagues to provide the most accurate and valuable insights. Discover trends, explore custom filters, or join thousands using our alert system.
