The 10% page-wide hit rate on Under 3.5 is already a red flag — this market clears in the vast majority of matches under normal conditions, so something structural is dragging that figure down hard. The most likely culprits are summer tournament formats and pre-season friendlies where defensive shape is loose and squads are rotated, inflating goal counts artificially.
Every team sitting at the top of this ranking — Simba, MC Alger, the rest — has exactly one match in the sample. That's not a trend, that's a coin flip with a label on it. Fading Under 3.5 in high-scoring pre-season environments makes sense directionally, but building a position around these specific names would be a mistake until meaningful sample depth accumulates over the next few weeks.