Every team on this table has exactly one qualifying match — that's not a sample, that's a coin flip with a logo attached. The Ethiopian clubs like Fasil Ketema and Negele Arsi Ketema are appearing here purely because a single low-scoring result has them sitting near the top of a ranking that means almost nothing right now. Under 3.5 is already a high-hit market structurally, so cherry-picking these outlier rates in June is a trap.
The honest play is to park this market until meaningful volume builds — mid-July at the earliest when pre-season friendlies accumulate double-digit samples. If you're actively trading unders right now, stick to leagues with verifiable historical baselines rather than chasing Ethiopian second-tier one-game records at juice that barely covers the vig.
