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Copa Sudamericana Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Copa Sudamericana

Find value bets for Copa Sudamericana fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

Caracas vs Metropolitanos

medium

Wed 4th, 22:00

FT Result

Away

3.50 Fair: 3.18 Betfair Exchange

+10.06%

Model: 31.5%

HT Result

Away

4.30 Fair: 4.25 1xBet

+1.18%

Model: 23.5%

Blooming vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo

medium

Wed 4th, 22:00

FT Result

Away

5.51 Fair: 4.52 Pinnacle

+21.9%

Model: 22.1%

BTTS

No

2.94 Fair: 2.70 Pinnacle

+8.89%

Model: 37.1%

HT Result

Away

5.31 Fair: 4.98 1xBet

+6.63%

Model: 20.1%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.45 Fair: 2.39 Pinnacle

+2.51%

Model: 41.8%

Atlético Nacional vs Millonarios

medium

Thu 5th, 00:30

FT Result

Away

6.40 Fair: 4.95 Betfair Exchange

+29.29%

Model: 20.2%

BTTS

Yes

2.33 Fair: 2.02 Pinnacle

+15.35%

Model: 49.5%

HT Result

Away

6.50 Fair: 5.99 Bet365

+8.51%

Model: 16.7%

HT Result

Home

2.30 Fair: 2.29 Bet365

+0.44%

Model: 43.7%

Universidad Chile vs Palestino

medium

Thu 5th, 00:30

FT Result

Away

6.20 Fair: 3.69 Betfair Exchange

+68.02%

Model: 27.1%

BTTS

Yes

2.10 Fair: 1.69 Pinnacle

+24.26%

Model: 59%

HT Result

Away

6.19 Fair: 5.04 1xBet

+22.82%

Model: 19.9%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.28 Fair: 2.00 Pinnacle

+14%

Model: 50%

Sportivo Trinidense vs Olimpia

medium

Thu 5th, 00:30

FT Result

Home

4.20 Fair: 3.24 Betfair Exchange

+29.63%

Model: 30.9%

HT Result

Home

4.83 Fair: 4.44 1xBet

+8.78%

Model: 22.5%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.84 Fair: 1.74 Pinnacle

+5.75%

Model: 57.4%

Deportivo Cuenca vs Libertad

medium

Thu 5th, 02:00

FT Result

Away

5.40 Fair: 4.72 Betfair Exchange

+14.41%

Model: 21.2%

BTTS

Yes

2.00 Fair: 1.96 Bet365

+2.04%

Model: 51%

Boston River vs Racing

medium

Thu 5th, 22:00

FT Result

Away

2.95 Fair: 2.53 Kambi Group

+16.6%

Model: 39.6%

BTTS

Yes

2.10 Fair: 2.04 Bet365

+2.94%

Model: 49%

Double Chance

Home Away

1.40 Fair: 1.38 WilliamHill

+1.45%

Model: 72.5%

Nacional Asunción vs Deportivo Recoleta

medium

Thu 5th, 22:00

FT Result

Away

5.25 Fair: 3.84 Bet365

+36.72%

Model: 26.1%

HT Result

Away

5.50 Fair: 4.75 Bet365

+15.79%

Model: 21.1%

BTTS

Yes

2.10 Fair: 1.95 Bet365

+7.69%

Model: 51.3%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.00 Fair: 1.92 Bet365

+4.17%

Model: 52.1%

América de Cali vs Atlético Bucaramanga

medium

Fri 6th, 00:30

HT Result

Home

2.88 Fair: 2.72 Pinnacle

+5.88%

Model: 36.7%

FT Result

Home

2.15 Fair: 2.09 Bet365

+2.87%

Model: 47.9%

BTTS

Yes

2.26 Fair: 2.22 Pinnacle

+1.8%

Model: 45.1%

Cienciano vs Melgar

medium

Fri 6th, 00:30

FT Result

Home

2.65 Fair: 1.95 Kambi Group

+35.9%

Model: 51.2%

HT Result

Home

3.15 Fair: 2.50 Kambi Group

+26%

Model: 40%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.44 Fair: 1.33 Kambi Group

+8.27%

Model: 75.3%

BTTS

No

2.22 Fair: 2.20 Betfair Exchange

+0.91%

Model: 45.5%

Double Chance

Home Away

1.33 Fair: 1.32 Bet365

+0.76%

Model: 75.9%

Orense vs Macará

medium

Fri 6th, 02:00

FT Result

Away

4.75 Fair: 3.44 Bet365

+38.08%

Model: 29.1%

HT Result

Away

5.42 Fair: 4.16 1xBet

+30.29%

Model: 24%

BTTS

Yes

2.10 Fair: 1.95 Bet365

+7.69%

Model: 51.3%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.90 Fair: 1.81 Bet365

+4.97%

Model: 55.2%

Double Chance

Home Away

1.36 Fair: 1.35 Bet365

+0.74%

Model: 74%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.