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  1. Football Leagues
  2. Northern Ireland
  3. Premiership

Premiership Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Premiership

Find value bets for Premiership fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

Ballymena United vs Portadown
high
Sat 7th, 15:00
FT Result
Home
2.47 Fair: 2.25 Pinnacle
+9.78%
Model: 44.5%
HT Result
Away
4.01 Fair: 3.94 1xBet
+1.78%
Model: 25.4%
Linfield vs Portadown
high
Tue 10th, 19:45
HT Result
Away
10.00 Fair: 7.75 1xBet
+29.03%
Model: 12.9%
FT Result
Home
1.27 Fair: 1.25 Bet365
+1.6%
Model: 79.9%
Crusaders vs Cliftonville
high
Tue 10th, 19:45
BTTS
No
2.53 Fair: 2.31 1xBet
+9.52%
Model: 43.3%
HT Result
Home
4.27 Fair: 4.21 Pinnacle
+1.43%
Model: 23.7%
Bangor vs Glentoran
high
Tue 10th, 19:45
HT Result
Home
7.21 Fair: 4.88 Pinnacle
+47.75%
Model: 20.5%
FT Result
Home
7.48 Fair: 5.70 1xBet
+31.23%
Model: 17.5%
Double Chance
Home Draw
2.80 Fair: 2.58 WilliamHill
+8.53%
Model: 38.7%
BTTS
Yes
1.95 Fair: 1.93 WilliamHill
+1.04%
Model: 51.7%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

  • 0-5% - Small value edge
  • 5-10% - Good value
  • 10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.