Join The Team!

A signing like no other...

Name

Email

Password

Selected Plan:

Pro£19.99/m

Pro w/ API£69.99/m

Season Ticket£179.99

Liga MX Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Liga MX

Find value bets for Liga MX fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

Monterrey vs Querétaro

medium

Thu 5th, 01:00

BTTS

No

2.00 Fair: 1.86 Betfair Exchange

+7.53%

Model: 53.8%

FT Result

Away

7.50 Fair: 7.07 Kambi Group

+6.08%

Model: 14.1%

HT Result

Home

2.04 Fair: 1.95 Pinnacle

+4.62%

Model: 51.4%

Puebla vs Tigres UANL

medium

Thu 5th, 01:00

FT Result

Away

1.99 Fair: 1.66 Betfair Exchange

+19.88%

Model: 60.3%

BTTS

No

2.10 Fair: 1.91 Betfair Exchange

+9.95%

Model: 52.4%

HT Result

Away

2.55 Fair: 2.38 Pinnacle

+7.14%

Model: 42.1%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.26 Fair: 1.21 Pinnacle

+4.13%

Model: 82.7%

Double Chance

Home Away

1.32 Fair: 1.29 Pinnacle

+2.33%

Model: 77.6%

Atlas vs Tijuana

medium

Thu 5th, 03:00

FT Result

Home

2.14 Fair: 1.94 Kambi Group

+10.31%

Model: 51.6%

HT Result

Home

2.75 Fair: 2.69 Bet365

+2.23%

Model: 37.2%

Double Chance

Home Away

1.34 Fair: 1.32 Pinnacle

+1.52%

Model: 75.9%

América vs Juárez

medium

Thu 5th, 03:00

HT Result

Away

6.96 Fair: 5.12 Pinnacle

+35.94%

Model: 19.5%

FT Result

Away

7.00 Fair: 5.32 Betfair Exchange

+31.58%

Model: 18.8%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.59 Fair: 2.32 Pinnacle

+11.64%

Model: 43%

BTTS

Yes

2.20 Fair: 2.08 Betfair Exchange

+5.77%

Model: 48.2%

FT Result

Draw

4.20 Fair: 4.13 Betfair Exchange

+1.69%

Model: 24.2%

Mazatlán vs León

medium

Sat 7th, 01:00

FT Result

Home

3.15 Fair: 2.59 Kambi Group

+21.62%

Model: 38.6%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.66 Fair: 1.57 Bet365

+5.73%

Model: 63.7%

BTTS

No

2.23 Fair: 2.12 Kambi Group

+5.19%

Model: 47.1%

HT Result

Home

3.60 Fair: 3.46 Bet365

+4.05%

Model: 28.9%

Necaxa vs Pumas UNAM

medium

Sat 7th, 03:00

FT Result

Away

3.00 Fair: 2.81 Bet365

+6.76%

Model: 35.6%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.66 Fair: 1.63 Bet365

+1.84%

Model: 61.2%

HT Result

Home

2.95 Fair: 2.93 Pinnacle

+0.68%

Model: 34.1%

Querétaro vs América

medium

Sat 7th, 23:00

FT Result

Home

5.50 Fair: 4.72 1xBet

+16.53%

Model: 21.2%

Cruz Azul vs Atlético San Luis

medium

Sat 7th, 23:00

HT Result

Away

6.27 Fair: 5.36 Pinnacle

+16.98%

Model: 18.7%

FT Result

Away

6.50 Fair: 6.15 Bet365

+5.69%

Model: 16.3%

BTTS

No

2.12 Fair: 2.09 Kambi Group

+1.44%

Model: 47.9%

Atlas vs Guadalajara

medium

Sun 8th, 01:00

FT Result

Home

5.75 Fair: 3.01 Bet365

+91.03%

Model: 33.2%

HT Result

Home

6.08 Fair: 3.86 1xBet

+57.51%

Model: 25.9%

Double Chance

Home Draw

2.25 Fair: 1.72 Bet365

+30.81%

Model: 58%

BTTS

Yes

1.95 Fair: 1.67 Bet365

+16.77%

Model: 59.7%

Pachuca vs Puebla

medium

Sun 8th, 01:00

HT Result

Away

5.71 Fair: 5.30 1xBet

+7.74%

Model: 18.9%

FT Result

Away

5.20 Fair: 4.89 1xBet

+6.34%

Model: 20.5%

BTTS

No

2.10 Fair: 1.98 Kambi Group

+6.06%

Model: 50.6%

Tigres UANL vs Monterrey

medium

Sun 8th, 03:00

FT Result

Home

1.80 Fair: 1.77 Bet365

+1.69%

Model: 56.6%

HT Result

Home

2.37 Fair: 2.34 Bet365

+1.28%

Model: 42.7%

BTTS

No

2.25 Fair: 2.23 Kambi Group

+0.9%

Model: 44.9%

Toluca vs Juárez

medium

Mon 9th, 01:00

HT Result

Away

8.15 Fair: 5.80 1xBet

+40.52%

Model: 17.3%

FT Result

Away

9.55 Fair: 7.32 1xBet

+30.46%

Model: 13.7%

Double Chance

Draw Away

3.40 Fair: 2.81 Bet365

+21%

Model: 35.6%

FT Result

Draw

5.10 Fair: 4.55 Kambi Group

+12.09%

Model: 22%

BTTS

No

1.85 Fair: 1.80 WilliamHill

+2.78%

Model: 55.5%

Tijuana vs Santos Laguna

medium

Mon 9th, 03:00

BTTS

No

2.38 Fair: 1.60 Kambi Group

+48.75%

Model: 62.5%

FT Result

Draw

4.50 Fair: 4.38 Bet365

+2.74%

Model: 22.8%

HT Result

Home

1.93 Fair: 1.91 1xBet

+1.05%

Model: 52.4%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.