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Serie B Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Serie B

Find value bets for Serie B fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

Carrarese vs Catanzaro

poor

Wed 4th, 18:00

FT Result

Away

3.32 Fair: 2.95 Pinnacle

+12.54%

Model: 33.9%

BTTS

No

2.12 Fair: 2.03 Betfair Exchange

+4.43%

Model: 49.3%

HT Result

Draw

2.18 Fair: 2.10 Pinnacle

+3.81%

Model: 47.6%

Double Chance

Home Away

1.43 Fair: 1.39 Pinnacle

+2.88%

Model: 71.9%

Bari 1908 vs Empoli

poor

Wed 4th, 19:00

FT Result

Home

3.30 Fair: 2.40 Betfair Exchange

+37.5%

Model: 41.6%

HT Result

Home

3.89 Fair: 3.42 Pinnacle

+13.74%

Model: 29.2%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.62 Fair: 1.44 Pinnacle

+12.5%

Model: 69.7%

BTTS

No

2.08 Fair: 1.94 Betfair Exchange

+7.22%

Model: 51.6%

HT Result

Draw

2.20 Fair: 2.12 Pinnacle

+3.77%

Model: 47.1%

Palermo vs Mantova

poor

Wed 4th, 19:00

BTTS

No

1.99 Fair: 1.90 Betfair Exchange

+4.74%

Model: 52.7%

HT Result

Away

6.15 Fair: 6.01 Pinnacle

+2.33%

Model: 16.7%

Juve Stabia vs Sampdoria

poor

Wed 4th, 19:00

FT Result

Home

2.62 Fair: 2.15 Betfair Exchange

+21.86%

Model: 46.5%

HT Result

Home

3.31 Fair: 3.09 Pinnacle

+7.12%

Model: 32.3%

BTTS

No

1.80 Fair: 1.75 Betfair Exchange

+2.86%

Model: 57.1%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.36 Fair: 1.33 Bet365

+2.26%

Model: 75.4%

Double Chance

Home Away

1.43 Fair: 1.41 Pinnacle

+1.42%

Model: 71.1%

Frosinone vs Pescara

poor

Wed 4th, 19:00

BTTS

No

2.48 Fair: 2.03 Betfair Exchange

+22.17%

Model: 49.4%

FT Result

Draw

4.80 Fair: 4.04 Betfair Exchange

+18.81%

Model: 24.7%

FT Result

Away

5.60 Fair: 4.78 Betfair Exchange

+17.15%

Model: 20.9%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.48 Fair: 2.19 Pinnacle

+13.24%

Model: 45.7%

HT Result

Draw

2.74 Fair: 2.47 Pinnacle

+10.93%

Model: 40.5%

HT Result

Away

5.34 Fair: 4.92 Pinnacle

+8.54%

Model: 20.3%

Südtirol vs Virtus Entella

poor

Sat 7th, 14:00

FT Result

Away

4.53 Fair: 4.01 Pinnacle

+12.97%

Model: 24.9%

HT Result

Away

5.36 Fair: 4.75 1xBet

+12.84%

Model: 21.1%

BTTS

No

1.86 Fair: 1.76 Pinnacle

+5.68%

Model: 56.7%

Double Chance

Home Away

1.48 Fair: 1.41 Pinnacle

+4.96%

Model: 70.7%

HT Result

Draw

2.14 Fair: 2.12 Kambi Group

+0.94%

Model: 47.2%

Avellino vs Calcio Padova

poor

Sat 7th, 14:00

FT Result

Away

4.00 Fair: 3.07 Pinnacle

+30.29%

Model: 32.6%

HT Result

Away

4.82 Fair: 4.15 1xBet

+16.14%

Model: 24.1%

Double Chance

Home Away

1.46 Fair: 1.39 Pinnacle

+5.04%

Model: 72.2%

BTTS

Yes

1.95 Fair: 1.93 Bet365

+1.04%

Model: 51.8%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.66 Fair: 1.65 Bet365

+0.61%

Model: 60.4%

Spezia vs Monza

poor

Sat 7th, 14:00

HT Result

Home

4.76 Fair: 3.81 1xBet

+24.93%

Model: 26.3%

FT Result

Home

4.10 Fair: 3.69 Bet365

+11.11%

Model: 27.1%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.90 Fair: 1.84 Bet365

+3.26%

Model: 54.4%

Venezia vs Reggiana

poor

Sat 7th, 16:15

HT Result

Away

8.18 Fair: 6.05 Pinnacle

+35.21%

Model: 16.5%

FT Result

Away

8.25 Fair: 6.98 1xBet

+18.19%

Model: 14.3%

Double Chance

Draw Away

3.25 Fair: 2.90 Pinnacle

+12.07%

Model: 34.5%

BTTS

Yes

2.10 Fair: 2.01 Pinnacle

+4.48%

Model: 49.7%

FT Result

Draw

5.08 Fair: 4.97 Pinnacle

+2.21%

Model: 20.1%

Modena vs Cesena

poor

Sat 7th, 18:30

FT Result

Away

5.24 Fair: 2.91 Pinnacle

+80.07%

Model: 34.4%

HT Result

Away

5.54 Fair: 4.23 1xBet

+30.97%

Model: 23.6%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.00 Fair: 1.61 Kambi Group

+24.22%

Model: 62.2%

HT Result

Draw

2.30 Fair: 2.19 Pinnacle

+5.02%

Model: 45.6%

Frosinone vs Sampdoria

poor

Sun 8th, 14:00

BTTS

No

2.08 Fair: 1.85 Kambi Group

+12.43%

Model: 53.9%

HT Result

Draw

2.30 Fair: 2.24 Kambi Group

+2.68%

Model: 44.7%

FT Result

Home

2.07 Fair: 2.03 1xBet

+1.97%

Model: 49.2%

Catanzaro vs Empoli

poor

Sun 8th, 14:00

FT Result

Home

1.97 Fair: 1.86 Kambi Group

+5.91%

Model: 53.8%

BTTS

No

1.91 Fair: 1.83 Kambi Group

+4.37%

Model: 54.6%

Mantova vs Juve Stabia

poor

Sun 8th, 14:00

FT Result

Home

2.75 Fair: 2.40 Bet365

+14.58%

Model: 41.6%

HT Result

Home

3.60 Fair: 3.35 Bet365

+7.46%

Model: 29.9%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.50 Fair: 1.42 Bet365

+5.63%

Model: 70.4%

BTTS

No

1.92 Fair: 1.91 Kambi Group

+0.52%

Model: 52.3%

Carrarese vs Palermo

poor

Sun 8th, 16:15

FT Result

Home

3.56 Fair: 3.03 1xBet

+17.49%

Model: 33%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.75 Fair: 1.63 WilliamHill

+7.36%

Model: 61.4%

HT Result

Home

4.32 Fair: 4.04 1xBet

+6.93%

Model: 24.8%

HT Result

Draw

2.23 Fair: 2.13 Kambi Group

+4.69%

Model: 47%

BTTS

No

1.98 Fair: 1.91 Kambi Group

+3.66%

Model: 52.3%

Pescara vs Bari 1908

poor

Sun 8th, 18:30

FT Result

Away

3.42 Fair: 3.11 1xBet

+9.97%

Model: 32.2%

BTTS

No

2.02 Fair: 1.88 Kambi Group

+7.45%

Model: 53.3%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.72 Fair: 1.64 Bet365

+4.88%

Model: 61%

HT Result

Away

4.33 Fair: 4.16 Bet365

+4.09%

Model: 24%

HT Result

Draw

2.25 Fair: 2.20 Kambi Group

+2.27%

Model: 45.5%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.