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League One Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for League One

Find value bets for League One fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

Leyton Orient vs Huddersfield Town

poor

Mon 6th, 15:00

FT Result

Home

3.00 Fair: 2.14 Pinnacle

+40.19%

Model: 46.7%

HT Result

Home

3.72 Fair: 3.23 1xBet

+15.17%

Model: 30.9%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.57 Fair: 1.37 Bet365

+14.6%

Model: 72.8%

Double Chance

Home Away

1.36 Fair: 1.35 Bet365

+0.74%

Model: 74%

Mansfield Town vs Burton Albion

poor

Mon 6th, 15:00

FT Result

Home

2.14 Fair: 2.10 Pinnacle

+1.9%

Model: 47.7%

Northampton Town vs Wigan Athletic

poor

Mon 6th, 15:00

HT Result

Home

3.66 Fair: 2.82 1xBet

+29.79%

Model: 35.5%

FT Result

Home

3.05 Fair: 2.40 Kambi Group

+27.08%

Model: 41.7%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.53 Fair: 1.44 Bet365

+6.25%

Model: 69.4%

Peterborough United vs Cardiff City

poor

Mon 6th, 15:00

HT Result

Home

4.33 Fair: 3.49 Bet365

+24.07%

Model: 28.6%

FT Result

Home

4.26 Fair: 3.48 1xBet

+22.41%

Model: 28.7%

Double Chance

Home Draw

2.05 Fair: 1.88 Bet365

+9.04%

Model: 53.2%

FT Result

Draw

4.20 Fair: 4.09 Pinnacle

+2.69%

Model: 24.4%

AFC Wimbledon vs Luton Town

poor

Mon 6th, 15:00

FT Result

Home

2.90 Fair: 2.54 Kambi Group

+14.17%

Model: 39.4%

HT Result

Home

3.57 Fair: 3.26 Pinnacle

+9.51%

Model: 30.6%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.54 Fair: 1.52 Kambi Group

+1.32%

Model: 65.9%

Bolton Wanderers vs Stockport County

poor

Mon 6th, 15:00

BTTS

No

2.32 Fair: 2.11 Kambi Group

+9.95%

Model: 47.5%

FT Result

Home

2.06 Fair: 2.00 Pinnacle

+3%

Model: 49.9%

Exeter City vs Doncaster Rovers

poor

Mon 6th, 15:00

BTTS

No

2.23 Fair: 2.02 Kambi Group

+10.4%

Model: 49.6%

HT Result

Draw

2.31 Fair: 2.29 Pinnacle

+0.87%

Model: 43.6%

FT Result

Home

2.92 Fair: 2.90 Pinnacle

+0.69%

Model: 34.4%

Barnsley vs Plymouth Argyle

poor

Mon 6th, 15:00

BTTS

No

2.43 Fair: 2.28 Kambi Group

+6.58%

Model: 43.8%

HT Result

Home

3.48 Fair: 3.31 1xBet

+5.14%

Model: 30.2%

Reading vs Lincoln City

poor

Mon 6th, 15:00

FT Result

Home

4.00 Fair: 3.07 Bet365

+30.29%

Model: 32.6%

HT Result

Home

4.75 Fair: 3.73 Bet365

+27.35%

Model: 26.8%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.90 Fair: 1.65 Bet365

+15.15%

Model: 60.7%

FT Result

Draw

3.80 Fair: 3.56 Pinnacle

+6.74%

Model: 28.1%

Stevenage vs Blackpool

poor

Mon 6th, 15:00

HT Result

Away

5.44 Fair: 4.98 Pinnacle

+9.24%

Model: 20.1%

FT Result

Home

1.88 Fair: 1.83 Kambi Group

+2.73%

Model: 54.6%

Wycombe Wanderers vs Bradford City

poor

Mon 6th, 15:00

FT Result

Home

2.12 Fair: 1.78 Kambi Group

+19.1%

Model: 56.3%

HT Result

Home

2.75 Fair: 2.49 Bet365

+10.44%

Model: 40.1%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.30 Fair: 1.26 Bet365

+3.17%

Model: 79.6%

Double Chance

Home Away

1.33 Fair: 1.30 WilliamHill

+2.31%

Model: 76.7%

Port Vale vs Rotherham United

poor

Tue 7th, 19:45

FT Result

Home

2.57 Fair: 2.10 Pinnacle

+22.38%

Model: 47.5%

Leyton Orient vs Mansfield Town

poor

Tue 14th, 19:45

FT Result

Home

2.21 Fair: 2.17 1xBet

+1.84%

Model: 46.1%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.