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Championship Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Championship

Find value bets for Championship fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

Preston North End vs Oxford United

poor

Fri 6th, 20:00

HT Result

Away

4.60 Fair: 4.22 1xBet

+9%

Model: 23.7%

FT Result

Away

3.80 Fair: 3.50 Betfair Exchange

+8.57%

Model: 28.6%

BTTS

No

1.90 Fair: 1.81 Kambi Group

+4.97%

Model: 55.4%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.80 Fair: 1.73 Bet365

+4.05%

Model: 57.8%

Hull City vs Millwall

poor

Sat 7th, 12:30

FT Result

Away

2.48 Fair: 2.11 Betfair Exchange

+17.54%

Model: 47.4%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.43 Fair: 1.37 Pinnacle

+4.38%

Model: 73.2%

Blackburn Rovers vs Portsmouth

poor

Sat 7th, 12:30

HT Result

Home

3.42 Fair: 3.18 Pinnacle

+7.55%

Model: 31.5%

BTTS

Yes

2.09 Fair: 1.95 Pinnacle

+7.18%

Model: 51.3%

FT Result

Home

2.59 Fair: 2.47 Pinnacle

+4.86%

Model: 40.5%

Sheffield United vs West Bromwich Albion

poor

Sat 7th, 15:00

FT Result

Home

1.80 Fair: 1.73 Betfair Exchange

+4.05%

Model: 57.9%

BTTS

No

2.04 Fair: 2.01 Kambi Group

+1.49%

Model: 49.8%

Swansea City vs Stoke City

poor

Sat 7th, 15:00

FT Result

Home

2.10 Fair: 1.91 Betfair Exchange

+9.95%

Model: 52.4%

BTTS

No

1.94 Fair: 1.87 Kambi Group

+3.74%

Model: 53.6%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.28 Fair: 1.27 Bet365

+0.79%

Model: 78.6%

Bristol City vs Coventry City

poor

Sat 7th, 15:00

FT Result

Home

3.80 Fair: 2.89 Betfair Exchange

+31.49%

Model: 34.7%

HT Result

Home

4.22 Fair: 3.70 1xBet

+14.05%

Model: 27%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.86 Fair: 1.64 Pinnacle

+13.41%

Model: 60.9%

BTTS

No

2.33 Fair: 2.22 Kambi Group

+4.95%

Model: 45%

FT Result

Draw

3.90 Fair: 3.81 Betfair Exchange

+2.36%

Model: 26.3%

Charlton Athletic vs Birmingham City

poor

Sat 7th, 15:00

FT Result

Home

3.60 Fair: 3.01 Betfair Exchange

+19.6%

Model: 33.2%

BTTS

Yes

1.92 Fair: 1.71 Pinnacle

+12.28%

Model: 58.4%

HT Result

Home

4.22 Fair: 3.97 1xBet

+6.3%

Model: 25.2%

Double Chance

Home Away

1.36 Fair: 1.34 Bet365

+1.49%

Model: 74.7%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.72 Fair: 1.71 Pinnacle

+0.58%

Model: 58.6%

Derby County vs Sheffield Wednesday

poor

Sat 7th, 15:00

FT Result

Away

14.50 Fair: 5.03 Betfair Exchange

+188.27%

Model: 19.9%

HT Result

Away

10.00 Fair: 5.30 Bet365

+88.68%

Model: 18.9%

Double Chance

Draw Away

3.94 Fair: 2.30 Pinnacle

+71.3%

Model: 43.6%

FT Result

Draw

5.76 Fair: 4.22 Pinnacle

+36.49%

Model: 23.7%

BTTS

Yes

2.34 Fair: 2.00 Pinnacle

+17%

Model: 50.1%

HT Result

Draw

2.72 Fair: 2.34 Pinnacle

+16.24%

Model: 42.7%

Ipswich Town vs Leicester City

poor

Sat 7th, 15:00

HT Result

Away

6.30 Fair: 5.94 Pinnacle

+6.06%

Model: 16.8%

Queens Park Rangers vs Middlesbrough

poor

Sun 8th, 16:30

FT Result

Home

3.91 Fair: 3.08 Pinnacle

+26.95%

Model: 32.5%

HT Result

Home

4.54 Fair: 4.02 1xBet

+12.94%

Model: 24.9%

BTTS

Yes

1.75 Fair: 1.55 1xBet

+12.9%

Model: 64.6%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.90 Fair: 1.80 Bet365

+5.56%

Model: 55.7%

Sheffield Wednesday vs Watford

poor

Tue 10th, 19:45

HT Result

Home

7.50 Fair: 4.78 Bet365

+56.9%

Model: 20.9%

FT Result

Home

8.00 Fair: 5.86 Bet365

+36.52%

Model: 17.1%

Double Chance

Home Draw

2.75 Fair: 2.47 Bet365

+11.34%

Model: 40.5%

FT Result

Draw

4.50 Fair: 4.27 Bet365

+5.39%

Model: 23.4%

HT Result

Draw

2.50 Fair: 2.44 Bet365

+2.46%

Model: 41%

Wrexham vs Hull City

poor

Tue 10th, 19:45

FT Result

Away

3.40 Fair: 3.22 Bet365

+5.59%

Model: 31%

Leicester City vs Bristol City

poor

Tue 10th, 19:45

FT Result

Away

3.00 Fair: 2.56 Bet365

+17.19%

Model: 39%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.61 Fair: 1.54 Bet365

+4.55%

Model: 64.8%

Millwall vs Derby County

poor

Tue 10th, 19:45

FT Result

Away

4.00 Fair: 3.69 Bet365

+8.4%

Model: 27.1%

BTTS

Yes

1.83 Fair: 1.74 Bet365

+5.17%

Model: 57.5%

HT Result

Away

4.50 Fair: 4.38 Bet365

+2.74%

Model: 22.8%

Portsmouth vs Swansea City

poor

Tue 10th, 19:45

FT Result

Home

2.51 Fair: 2.22 1xBet

+13.06%

Model: 45%

Stoke City vs Ipswich Town

poor

Tue 10th, 20:00

FT Result

Home

3.60 Fair: 3.16 Bet365

+13.92%

Model: 31.6%

HT Result

Home

4.00 Fair: 3.70 Bet365

+8.11%

Model: 27%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.80 Fair: 1.72 Bet365

+4.65%

Model: 58.1%

Norwich City vs Sheffield United

poor

Wed 11th, 19:45

FT Result

Home

2.62 Fair: 2.46 Bet365

+6.5%

Model: 40.7%

Oxford United vs Blackburn Rovers

poor

Wed 11th, 19:45

FT Result

Away

2.50 Fair: 2.43 Bet365

+2.88%

Model: 41.2%

West Bromwich Albion vs Southampton

poor

Wed 11th, 19:45

HT Result

Away

3.10 Fair: 3.03 Bet365

+2.31%

Model: 33%

Middlesbrough vs Charlton Athletic

poor

Wed 11th, 19:45

FT Result

Away

7.50 Fair: 6.26 Bet365

+19.81%

Model: 16%

HT Result

Away

6.50 Fair: 5.80 Bet365

+12.07%

Model: 17.3%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.75 Fair: 2.56 Bet365

+7.42%

Model: 39.1%

FT Result

Draw

4.60 Fair: 4.32 1xBet

+6.48%

Model: 23.2%

HT Result

Draw

2.50 Fair: 2.48 Bet365

+0.81%

Model: 40.3%

BTTS

No

1.83 Fair: 1.82 Bet365

+0.55%

Model: 55%

Birmingham City vs Queens Park Rangers

poor

Wed 11th, 19:45

BTTS

No

2.00 Fair: 1.94 Bet365

+3.09%

Model: 51.5%

Coventry City vs Preston North End

poor

Wed 11th, 20:00

BTTS

No

2.10 Fair: 1.80 Bet365

+16.67%

Model: 55.6%

HT Result

Away

6.50 Fair: 5.65 Bet365

+15.04%

Model: 17.7%

FT Result

Draw

5.00 Fair: 4.51 Bet365

+10.86%

Model: 22.2%

Double Chance

Draw Away

3.00 Fair: 2.78 Bet365

+7.91%

Model: 36%

HT Result

Draw

2.62 Fair: 2.50 Bet365

+4.8%

Model: 40.1%

FT Result

Away

7.50 Fair: 7.24 Bet365

+3.59%

Model: 13.8%

Wrexham vs Swansea City

poor

Fri 13th, 20:00

FT Result

Home

2.21 Fair: 1.96 1xBet

+12.76%

Model: 51.1%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.